TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148426
Played Sep 18Finished
Yurii Volkov
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111210117119––
Oleh Karpenko
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:48 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeYurii Volkov to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Oleh Karpenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 79 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Yurii Volkov at 67.9%
79 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 43–21 Oleh Karpenko Oleh Karpenko has won 21 of their 64 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:48What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Volkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-21 in 64
Volkov
Correct
gap of 22 in 64, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1613 vs Karpenko 1588
Volkov
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 20% vs Karpenko 40%
Karpenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 40% vs Karpenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov -3 · Karpenko +1
Volkov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Volkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volkov form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 1.40 / Karpenko 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Volkov)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13148426
Volkov1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 159 of 240
Up 2–0, closes it98% 79 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it85% 115 of 136
Karpenko2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 76 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back30% 28 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back18% 11 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolkov6wins
AwayKarpenko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVolkov leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov66.7%6 of 9
AwayKarpenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov9Karpenko1n = 10Volkov took 9 of 10
S2Volkov6Karpenko4n = 10Volkov took 6 of 10
S3Volkov6Karpenko4n = 10Volkov took 6 of 10
S4Volkov3Karpenko2n = 5Volkov took 3 of 5
S5Volkov1Karpenko3n = 4Karpenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolkovKarpenkoV − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match41.235.3+5.9per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovKarpenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime412 / 780 vs 362 / 69552.8%52.1%412 / 780 vs 362 / 695Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolkovVolkov 1.40/Karpenko 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Volkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Volkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 06:35Y. Volkov361114113O. Karpenko2561270
LSep 11 · 04:30Y. Volkov4511591192O. Karpenko51911119113
WSep 8 · 04:30Y. Volkov421711143O. Karpenko31154120
LSep 4 · 04:30Y. Volkov4791211872O. Karpenko451110211113
WAug 25 · 04:30Y. Volkov351211123O. Karpenko25105100
LAug 17 · 04:30Y. Volkov36119881O. Karpenko3961111113
WAug 11 · 06:00Y. Volkov331111113O. Karpenko218670
WAug 4 · 12:05Y. Volkov331111113O. Karpenko199550
LJul 27 · 12:05Y. Volkov5011971492O. Karpenko494111112113
WJul 24 · 08:05Y. Volkov551181411113O. Karpenko4881116942
Y. Volkov10
WSep 18 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.611111113A. Troyan2.207850LSep 14 · 11:05Y. Volkov1.8384111352A. Obishchenko1.831111511113LSep 14 · 09:35Y. Volkov2.257860V. Ishchuk1.571111113LSep 14 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.67711451A. Troyan2.1011911113WSep 14 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.401114113O. Karpenko2.7561270LSep 14 · 05:05Y. Volkov2.0071161142Y. Holoborodko1.73118118113LSep 12 · 11:35Y. Volkov1.8011211762Y. Kovshun1.91611911113WSep 12 · 09:35I. Efimenko1.6141090Y. Volkov2.201112113WSep 12 · 08:35Y. Volkov1.5711113113A. Troyan2.25881151WSep 12 · 07:35A. Kotiash3.406101101Y. Volkov1.3011129113
O. Karpenko10
WSep 15 · 11:00Y. Kovshun1.61681121O. Karpenko2.2011118113LSep 15 · 10:00A. Troyan1.6761111113O. Karpenko2.10118941WSep 15 · 08:30I. Emets3.2581191182O. Karpenko1.33118118113LSep 15 · 06:30V. Bilobrov2.751111113O. Karpenko1.404660LSep 15 · 04:30V. Kolesnykov1.8311211113O. Karpenko1.83811591WSep 14 · 12:05A. Troyan1.67541111102O. Karpenko2.10111155123LSep 14 · 10:35O. Karpenko2.75114371Y. Holoborodko1.4091111113LSep 14 · 08:35V. Ishchuk1.61116128113O. Karpenko2.20211101162LSep 14 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.401114113O. Karpenko2.7561270WSep 14 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.4011881152O. Karpenko2.75111117113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.