TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126197
Played Sep 14Finished
Yurii Volkov
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8114111151311511
Andrii Obishchenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Obishchenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Andrii Obishchenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 90 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Andrii Obishchenko at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 8–13 Andrii Obishchenko Yurii Volkov has won 8 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:32What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Obishchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-13 in 21
Obishchenko
Correct
gap of 5 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1622 vs Obishchenko 1679
Obishchenko
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 20% vs Obishchenko 80%
Obishchenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 50% vs Obishchenko 80%
Obishchenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov -2 · Obishchenko +3
Obishchenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Obishchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Obishchenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 1.83 / Obishchenko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Obishchenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13126197
Volkov1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Obishchenko1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolkov7wins
AwayObishchenko3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVolkov leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov85.7%6 of 7
AwayObishchenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov7Obishchenko3n = 10Volkov took 7 of 10
S2Volkov8Obishchenko2n = 10Volkov took 8 of 10
S3Volkov7Obishchenko3n = 10Volkov took 7 of 10
S4Volkov2Obishchenko4n = 6Obishchenko took 4 of 6
S5Volkov2Obishchenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolkovObishchenkoV − OBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.436.6+3.8per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovObishchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime415 / 784 vs 73 / 14052.9%52.1%415 / 784 vs 73 / 140Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ObishchenkoVolkov 1.83/Obishchenko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Obishchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Obishchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 04:30Y. Volkov331111113A. Obishchenko205690
WJul 18 · 08:05Y. Volkov485111110113A. Obishchenko4311491272
LJul 14 · 11:05Y. Volkov26141291A. Obishchenko43111110113
WMay 21 · 11:05Y. Volkov331111113A. Obishchenko219750
WMay 14 · 05:05Y. Volkov571413109113A. Obishchenko531211121172
LMay 9 · 11:05Y. Volkov541112128112A. Obishchenko524141011133
WMay 4 · 05:05Y. Volkov4711149133A. Obishchenko4061211111
LMay 2 · 11:05Y. Volkov3941141192A. Obishchenko48116119113
WJan 29 · 11:30Y. Volkov341112113A. Obishchenko2781090
WJan 23 · 05:30Y. Volkov331111113A. Obishchenko196940
Y. Volkov10
LSep 14 · 09:35Y. Volkov2.257860V. Ishchuk1.571111113LSep 14 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.67711451A. Troyan2.1011911113WSep 14 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.401114113O. Karpenko2.7561270LSep 14 · 05:05Y. Volkov2.0071161142Y. Holoborodko1.73118118113LSep 12 · 11:35Y. Volkov1.8011211762Y. Kovshun1.91611911113WSep 12 · 09:35I. Efimenko1.6141090Y. Volkov2.201112113WSep 12 · 08:35Y. Volkov1.5711113113A. Troyan2.25881151WSep 12 · 07:35A. Kotiash3.406101101Y. Volkov1.3011129113LSep 12 · 06:05Y. Volkov1.3671112752V. Bilobrov3.001181011113WSep 11 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.30611911113A. Kotiash3.4011311392
A. Obishchenko10
WSep 14 · 10:05A. Obishchenko1.251114113A. Troyan3.7581250WSep 14 · 09:05A. Obishchenko1.831112133Y. Holoborodko1.83610110WSep 14 · 07:35A. Obishchenko1.6111117113V. Ishchuk2.20351181LSep 14 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.4011881152O. Karpenko2.75111117113WSep 8 · 11:05O. Osadchyi2.389480A. Obishchenko1.531111113WSep 8 · 10:05A. Obishchenko1.251111113A. Troyan3.755960LSep 8 · 09:05A. Obishchenko1.9177100Y. Kovshun1.801111123WSep 8 · 07:35A. Obishchenko1.401111113D. Khairov2.756550WSep 8 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.501311113O. Volynets2.5011930WAug 20 · 10:30A. Obishchenko1.57127119123A. Lobanov2.251011811102
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