TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155368
Played Sep 19Finished
Yurii Volkov
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611611––––
Yaroslav Kovshun
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Volkov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Yaroslav Kovshun below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 54 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Yurii Volkov at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 77–43 Yaroslav Kovshun Yaroslav Kovshun has won 43 of their 120 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Volkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
77-43 in 120
Volkov
Wrong
gap of 34 in 120, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1639 vs Kovshun 1597
Volkov
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 80% vs Kovshun 40%
Volkov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 60% vs Kovshun 40%
Volkov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov -1 · Kovshun +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Volkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovshun form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 1.80 / Kovshun 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Volkov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13155368
Volkov1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 163 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it98% 81 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it85% 118 of 139
Kovshun1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 46 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back20% 14 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolkov5wins
AwayKovshun5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov60%3 of 5
AwayKovshun60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov5Kovshun5n = 10split evenly
S2Volkov6Kovshun4n = 10Volkov took 6 of 10
S3Volkov6Kovshun4n = 10Volkov took 6 of 10
S4Volkov4Kovshun5n = 9Kovshun took 5 of 9
S5Volkov1Kovshun2n = 3Kovshun took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolkovKovshunV − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.440.0+0.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovKovshunBasisWin rate · lifetime407 / 773 vs 340 / 63352.7%53.7%407 / 773 vs 340 / 633Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolkovVolkov 1.80/Kovshun 1.91
Miss
What we said
54%
Volkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kovshun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 10:30Y. Volkov4311119123Y. Kovshun379711101
LSep 12 · 11:35Y. Volkov3711211762Y. Kovshun48611911113
WSep 11 · 09:00Y. Volkov5091812113Y. Kovshun4211161051
WSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov351113113Y. Kovshun2681170
WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Volkov539111111113Y. Kovshun4011136912
LAug 29 · 05:05Y. Volkov36881191Y. Kovshun4211119113
LAug 15 · 11:05Y. Volkov314116101Y. Kovshun4311911123
LJul 31 · 10:19Y. Volkov28511571Y. Kovshun3811511113
WJul 31 · 07:35Y. Volkov4314117113Y. Kovshun341271141
LJul 28 · 05:05Y. Volkov48111211772Y. Kovshun50514911113
Y. Volkov10
LSep 19 · 05:05Y. Volkov1.83671171V. Kryvenko1.8311114113WSep 18 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.7311119123Y. Kovshun2.009711101WSep 18 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.4011811113V. Bilobrov2.75911781WSep 18 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.5081311113S. Kyienko1.501111871WSep 18 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.611111113A. Troyan2.207850WSep 18 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.4081211113O. Karpenko2.751110791LSep 14 · 11:05Y. Volkov1.8384111352A. Obishchenko1.831111511113LSep 14 · 09:35Y. Volkov2.257860V. Ishchuk1.571111113LSep 14 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.67711451A. Troyan2.1011911113WSep 14 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.401114113O. Karpenko2.7561270
Y. Kovshun10
WSep 19 · 05:35I. Efimenko1.44411771Y. Kovshun2.6311811113LSep 18 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.7311119123Y. Kovshun2.009711101LSep 18 · 09:30Y. Kovshun1.9110560S. Kyienko1.801211113WSep 18 · 08:30Y. Kovshun1.679111115113O. Karpenko2.1011971772LSep 18 · 07:00Y. Kovshun1.337640V. Bilobrov3.251111113LSep 18 · 05:00Y. Kovshun1.4411570A. Troyan2.631311113LSep 15 · 11:00Y. Kovshun1.61681121O. Karpenko2.2011118113WSep 15 · 09:00V. Kolesnykov2.63861181Y. Kovshun1.4411115113LSep 15 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.5011911482A. Troyan2.50711311113WSep 15 · 07:00I. Emets4.33411451Y. Kovshun1.2011211113
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