TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148276
Played Sep 18Finished
Yurii Volkov
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111311118117––
Serhii Kyienko
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kyienko to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Serhii Kyienko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 80 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Serhii Kyienko at 64.1%
80 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 9–24 Serhii Kyienko Yurii Volkov has won 9 of their 33 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:10What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kyienko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-24 in 33
Kyienko
Wrong
gap of 15 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1651 vs Kyienko 1614
Volkov
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 40% vs Kyienko 80%
Kyienko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 50% vs Kyienko 90%
Kyienko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov +2 · Kyienko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kyienko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kyienko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 2.50 / Kyienko 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Kyienko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13148276
Volkov2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 45 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back26% 14 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Kyienko1.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite83% won 15 of 18
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolkov5wins
AwayKyienko5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov80%4 of 5
AwayKyienko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov5Kyienko5n = 10split evenly
S2Volkov5Kyienko5n = 10split evenly
S3Volkov5Kyienko4n = 9Volkov took 5 of 9
S4Volkov2Kyienko2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolkovKyienkoV − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match30.134.4−4.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovKyienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime410 / 775 vs 97 / 17352.9%56.1%410 / 775 vs 97 / 173Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyienkoVolkov 2.50/Kyienko 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.1%
Kyienko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Volkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 18 · 07:30Y. Volkov4381311113S. Kyienko371111871
LMay 2 · 08:05Y. Volkov3911411762S. Kyienko47511911113
LApr 11 · 08:05Y. Volkov207670S. Kyienko331111113
LApr 4 · 08:05Y. Volkov25471131S. Kyienko3811115113
LMar 14 · 08:30Y. Volkov113350S. Kyienko331111113
WFeb 15 · 14:40Y. Volkov4011117113S. Kyienko30941161
WFeb 8 · 09:05Y. Volkov331111113S. Kyienko237970
Y. Volkov10
WSep 18 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.611111113A. Troyan2.207850WSep 18 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.4081211113O. Karpenko2.751110791LSep 14 · 11:05Y. Volkov1.8384111352A. Obishchenko1.831111511113LSep 14 · 09:35Y. Volkov2.257860V. Ishchuk1.571111113LSep 14 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.67711451A. Troyan2.1011911113WSep 14 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.401114113O. Karpenko2.7561270LSep 14 · 05:05Y. Volkov2.0071161142Y. Holoborodko1.73118118113LSep 12 · 11:35Y. Volkov1.8011211762Y. Kovshun1.91611911113WSep 12 · 09:35I. Efimenko1.6141090Y. Volkov2.201112113WSep 12 · 08:35Y. Volkov1.5711113113A. Troyan2.25881151
S. Kyienko10
LSep 18 · 06:30S. Kyienko1.441197111O. Karpenko2.6361111133WAug 8 · 19:00S. Kyienko1.731111113O. Osadchyi2.009790WAug 8 · 17:00V. Smyk5.001169121S. Kyienko1.1491111143WAug 8 · 15:00V. Melnykov4.008670S. Kyienko1.221111113LAug 8 · 14:00S. Kyienko1.408680O. Lipeiko2.75111182WAug 8 · 13:00O. Tymofeev2.63117351S. Kyienko1.4491111113WMay 2 · 12:05S. Kyienko1.611311113V. Kryvenko2.2011390WMay 2 · 10:05A. Obishchenko1.91115861S. Kyienko1.8091111113WMay 2 · 08:05Y. Volkov2.6311411762S. Kyienko1.44511911113WMay 2 · 07:05S. Kyienko2.10111211113A. Troyan1.671310981
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