TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #11830323
Played May 2Finished
Serhii Kyienko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11131210119118––
Andrey Troyan
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingSerhii Kyienko above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 85 set 4, 11-8
85 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kyienko 7–14 Andrey Troyan Serhii Kyienko has won 7 of their 21 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kyienko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Troyan form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKyienko 2.10 / Troyan 1.67
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kyienko)+9.8pp
Setka Cup · #11830323
Kyienko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Troyan1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKyienko3wins
AwayTroyan7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTroyan leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKyienko40%2 of 5
AwayTroyan80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kyienko5Troyan5n = 10split evenly
S2Kyienko5Troyan5n = 10split evenly
S3Kyienko2Troyan8n = 10Troyan took 8 of 10
S4Kyienko4Troyan2n = 6Kyienko took 4 of 6
S5Kyienko0Troyan3n = 3Troyan took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKyienkoTroyanK − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.139.9−2.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKyienkoTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 261 vs 619 / 122853.3%50.4%139 / 261 vs 619 / 1228Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyienkoKyienko 2.10/Troyan 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kyienko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kyienko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 2 · 07:05S. Kyienko—3A. Troyan—1
LApr 11 · 06:05S. Kyienko—2A. Troyan—3
LMar 28 · 11:05S. Kyienko—2A. Troyan—3
LMar 7 · 07:30S. Kyienko—1A. Troyan—3
WFeb 22 · 07:05S. Kyienko—3A. Troyan—1
WFeb 15 · 18:40S. Kyienko—3A. Troyan—0
LFeb 14 · 09:05S. Kyienko—2A. Troyan—3
LFeb 8 · 11:05S. Kyienko—0A. Troyan—3
LDec 1 · 08:35S. Kyienko—0A. Troyan—3
LNov 25 · 10:05S. Kyienko—0A. Troyan—3
S. Kyienko10
LSep 18 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.5081311113S. Kyienko1.501111871LSep 18 · 06:30S. Kyienko1.441197111O. Karpenko2.6361111133WAug 8 · 19:00S. Kyienko1.731111113O. Osadchyi2.009790WAug 8 · 17:00V. Smyk5.001169121S. Kyienko1.1491111143WAug 8 · 15:00V. Melnykov4.008670S. Kyienko1.221111113LAug 8 · 14:00S. Kyienko1.408680O. Lipeiko2.75111182WAug 8 · 13:00O. Tymofeev2.63117351S. Kyienko1.4491111113WMay 2 · 12:05S. Kyienko1.611311113V. Kryvenko2.2011390WMay 2 · 10:05A. Obishchenko1.91115861S. Kyienko1.8091111113WMay 2 · 08:05Y. Volkov2.6311411762S. Kyienko1.44511911113
A. Troyan10
LSep 18 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.611111113A. Troyan2.207850WSep 18 · 05:00Y. Kovshun1.4411570A. Troyan2.631311113WSep 15 · 11:30V. Bilobrov2.502950A. Troyan1.501111113WSep 15 · 10:00A. Troyan1.6761111113O. Karpenko2.10118941WSep 15 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.5011911482A. Troyan2.50711311113WSep 15 · 06:00V. Kolesnykov3.00119331A. Troyan1.3681111113LSep 15 · 05:00I. Emets1.3611512113A. Troyan3.006111081LSep 14 · 12:05A. Troyan1.67541111102O. Karpenko2.10111155123LSep 14 · 10:05A. Obishchenko1.251114113A. Troyan3.7581250WSep 14 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.67711451A. Troyan2.1011911113
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