TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12378750
Played Aug 8Finished
Oleksandr Tymofeev
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119711311511––
Serhii Kyienko
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:31 and never touched — 72.5% is still 72.5%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kyienko to win
72.5%
72.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Tymofeev above · Serhii Kyienko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 68 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Serhii Kyienko at 72.5%
68 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Tymofeev 7–9 Serhii Kyienko Oleksandr Tymofeev has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:31What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kyienko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Kyienko
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tymofeev 1533 vs Kyienko 1617
Kyienko
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tymofeev 80% vs Kyienko 100%
Kyienko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tymofeev 70% vs Kyienko 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tymofeev +1 · Kyienko +5
Kyienko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Kyienko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kyienko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTymofeev 2.63 / Kyienko 1.44
Signal prob.28% / 73%
Edge (Kyienko)+8.0pp
Setka Cup · #12378750
Tymofeev2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 37 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back22% 14 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 35
Kyienko1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite74% won 20 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTymofeev4wins
AwayKyienko6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKyienko leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTymofeev75%3 of 4
AwayKyienko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tymofeev4Kyienko6n = 10Kyienko took 6 of 10
S2Tymofeev5Kyienko5n = 10split evenly
S3Tymofeev3Kyienko7n = 10Kyienko took 7 of 10
S4Tymofeev2Kyienko3n = 5Kyienko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricTymofeevKyienkoT − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.335.2−3.9per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTymofeevKyienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime266 / 515 vs 104 / 18751.7%55.6%266 / 515 vs 104 / 187Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyienkoTymofeev 2.63/Kyienko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.5%
Kyienko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kyienko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMar 7 · 06:30O. Tymofeev205870S. Kyienko331111113
LFeb 15 · 12:40O. Tymofeev226790S. Kyienko321111103
LJan 25 · 12:40O. Tymofeev271110421S. Kyienko397121193
LNov 6 · 14:10O. Tymofeev163580S. Kyienko331111113
LSep 13 · 11:20O. Tymofeev339111031S. Kyienko3711312113
WJun 22 · 17:40O. Tymofeev331111113S. Kyienko217590
WJun 14 · 12:05O. Tymofeev43412511113S. Kyienko48111011792
WMay 25 · 11:05O. Tymofeev4514711133S. Kyienko4312119111
WMay 24 · 05:35O. Tymofeev361111143S. Kyienko2347120
LMay 17 · 05:30O. Tymofeev387111191S. Kyienko4311813113
O. Tymofeev10
WSep 16 · 19:00O. Tymofeev1.911111113O. Ovsiienko1.807580WSep 16 · 15:00F. Voinarovskyi2.754680O. Tymofeev1.401111113WSep 16 · 14:00O. Tymofeev1.531111113A. Kurtenko2.383930WSep 16 · 13:00B. Zaika2.751011114102O. Tymofeev1.40127911123WSep 13 · 12:20O. Tymofeev1.5091113103S. Solomko2.501141181WSep 13 · 10:20O. Osadchyi1.67115591O. Tymofeev2.1091111113LSep 13 · 09:20O. Tymofeev2.25118115102E. Populovskyi1.57811611123WSep 13 · 08:20A. Martyniuk1.611110551O. Tymofeev2.2041211113WSep 13 · 06:50O. Tymofeev1.5751111113A. Kurtenko2.25119921LSep 12 · 19:00O. Tymofeev2.0081050E. Populovskyi1.731112113
S. Kyienko10
LSep 18 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.5081311113S. Kyienko1.501111871LSep 18 · 06:30S. Kyienko1.441197111O. Karpenko2.6361111133WAug 8 · 19:00S. Kyienko1.731111113O. Osadchyi2.009790WAug 8 · 17:00V. Smyk5.001169121S. Kyienko1.1491111143WAug 8 · 15:00V. Melnykov4.008670S. Kyienko1.221111113LAug 8 · 14:00S. Kyienko1.408680O. Lipeiko2.75111182WMay 2 · 12:05S. Kyienko1.611311113V. Kryvenko2.2011390WMay 2 · 10:05A. Obishchenko1.91115861S. Kyienko1.8091111113WMay 2 · 08:05Y. Volkov2.6311411762S. Kyienko1.44511911113WMay 2 · 07:05S. Kyienko2.10111211113A. Troyan1.671310981
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