TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12378817
Played Aug 8Finished
Volodymyr Melnykov
Home
4.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611711––––
Serhii Kyienko
Away
1.22
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:37 and never touched — 83.6% is still 83.6%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kyienko to win
83.6%
83.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Melnykov above · Serhii Kyienko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Serhii Kyienko at 83.6%
54 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Melnykov 0–2 Serhii Kyienko Volodymyr Melnykov has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:37What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Kyienko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Melnykov 1423 vs Kyienko 1613
Kyienko
Correct
both rated, 190 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnykov 60% vs Kyienko 80%
Kyienko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnykov 60% vs Kyienko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnykov -2 · Kyienko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Kyienko) · live re-read · sealed at 84% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melnykov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnykov 4.00 / Kyienko 1.22
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Kyienko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12378817
Melnykov4.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 54 of 139
Down 0–1, comes back27% 24 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back14% 7 of 52
Kyienko1.22
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite74% won 20 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMelnykov0wins
AwayKyienko2wins
Kyienko leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricMelnykovKyienkoM − KBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match22.036.5−14.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnykovKyienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 544 vs 104 / 18746.3%55.6%252 / 544 vs 104 / 187Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyienkoMelnykov 4.00/Kyienko 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Kyienko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kyienko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 19 · 08:00V. Melnykov199640S. Kyienko331111113
LJul 6 · 09:35V. Melnykov25481121S. Kyienko4011117113
V. Melnykov10
LSep 13 · 19:00V. Melnykov2.105970M. Stetsenko1.671111113LSep 13 · 17:00O. Mytsyk1.6741111973V. Melnykov2.1011671142WSep 13 · 15:00A. Dekhtiarenko1.804770V. Melnykov1.911111113LSep 13 · 14:00V. Melnykov2.63981181O. Ovsiienko1.4411117113LSep 13 · 13:00S. Baranskyi2.001111113V. Melnykov1.736750WSep 7 · 12:50V. Melnykov1.401116113S. Semenets2.7551450WSep 7 · 10:50V. Stukalov3.40117791V. Melnykov1.3081111113WSep 7 · 08:50V. Korniichuk2.1081050V. Melnykov1.671112113LSep 7 · 07:50V. Melnykov1.83116651M. Stetsenko1.8341111113LSep 7 · 06:50O. Mytsyk1.67212713123V. Melnykov2.1011101111102
S. Kyienko10
LSep 18 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.5081311113S. Kyienko1.501111871LSep 18 · 06:30S. Kyienko1.441197111O. Karpenko2.6361111133WAug 8 · 19:00S. Kyienko1.731111113O. Osadchyi2.009790WAug 8 · 17:00V. Smyk5.001169121S. Kyienko1.1491111143LAug 8 · 14:00S. Kyienko1.408680O. Lipeiko2.75111182WAug 8 · 13:00O. Tymofeev2.63117351S. Kyienko1.4491111113WMay 2 · 12:05S. Kyienko1.611311113V. Kryvenko2.2011390WMay 2 · 10:05A. Obishchenko1.91115861S. Kyienko1.8091111113WMay 2 · 08:05Y. Volkov2.6311411762S. Kyienko1.44511911113WMay 2 · 07:05S. Kyienko2.10111211113A. Troyan1.671310981
Upcoming Matches
V. Melnykov
Nothing scheduled
S. Kyienko
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