TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12378992
Played Aug 8Finished
Serhii Kyienko
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
0 – 2
Set by set
81161188––––
Oleksandr Lipeiko
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:21 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kyienko to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Kyienko above · Oleksandr Lipeiko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-8
Point 52 set 3, 8-8 — our read held Serhii Kyienko at 67.3%
52 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kyienko 2–3 Oleksandr Lipeiko Serhii Kyienko has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:21What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kyienko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kyienko 1625 vs Lipeiko 1571
Kyienko
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kyienko 100% vs Lipeiko 60%
Kyienko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kyienko 70% vs Lipeiko 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kyienko +5 · Lipeiko +1
Kyienko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kyienko) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lipeiko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKyienko 1.40 / Lipeiko 2.75
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Kyienko)-1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12378992
Kyienko1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite74% won 20 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Lipeiko2.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 57 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back29% 18 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKyienko2wins
AwayLipeiko3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderLipeiko leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKyienko50%2 of 4
AwayLipeikon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kyienko4Lipeiko1n = 5Kyienko took 4 of 5
S2Kyienko2Lipeiko3n = 5Lipeiko took 3 of 5
S3Kyienko4Lipeiko1n = 5Kyienko took 4 of 5
S4Kyienko0Lipeiko3n = 3Lipeiko took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKyienkoLipeikoK − LBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match36.435.0+1.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKyienkoLipeikoBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 187 vs 240 / 48455.6%49.6%104 / 187 vs 240 / 484Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyienkoKyienko 1.40/Lipeiko 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Kyienko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–2
Lipeiko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WDec 6 · 07:05S. Kyienko351111133O. Lipeiko2348110
WSep 7 · 09:20S. Kyienko331111113O. Lipeiko269890
LSep 1 · 09:35S. Kyienko46116117112O. Lipeiko42311411133
LAug 26 · 07:00S. Kyienko311111541O. Lipeiko4491311113
LJul 6 · 11:05S. Kyienko377911101O. Lipeiko4011116123
S. Kyienko10
LSep 18 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.5081311113S. Kyienko1.501111871LSep 18 · 06:30S. Kyienko1.441197111O. Karpenko2.6361111133WAug 8 · 19:00S. Kyienko1.731111113O. Osadchyi2.009790WAug 8 · 17:00V. Smyk5.001169121S. Kyienko1.1491111143WAug 8 · 15:00V. Melnykov4.008670S. Kyienko1.221111113WAug 8 · 13:00O. Tymofeev2.63117351S. Kyienko1.4491111113WMay 2 · 12:05S. Kyienko1.611311113V. Kryvenko2.2011390WMay 2 · 10:05A. Obishchenko1.91115861S. Kyienko1.8091111113WMay 2 · 08:05Y. Volkov2.6311411762S. Kyienko1.44511911113WMay 2 · 07:05S. Kyienko2.10111211113A. Troyan1.671310981
O. Lipeiko10
WSep 17 · 12:20O. Lipeiko1.441111113O. Ovsiienko2.637930WSep 17 · 10:20S. Skhabitskiy2.255660O. Lipeiko1.571111113WSep 17 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.911111710113A. Kovalenko1.8046111292WSep 17 · 08:20M. Stetsenko1.838990O. Lipeiko1.831111113WSep 17 · 06:50O. Lipeiko1.7311412113O. Mytsyk2.006111041WSep 7 · 11:35O. Lipeiko1.67761111113O. Ovsiienko2.1011119652LSep 7 · 09:35K. Klymenko3.40411711113O. Lipeiko1.3011311832LSep 7 · 08:35O. Lipeiko2.638770A. Martyniuk1.441111113WSep 7 · 07:35O. Leonenko3.751011651O. Lipeiko1.2512511113LSep 7 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.508460O. Shyshman1.501111113
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