TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155596
Played Sep 19Finished
Andrii Kotiash
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 12Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 12
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811119711311––
Yaroslav Makovka
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:14 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Makovka to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Kotiash above · Yaroslav Makovka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 71 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Yaroslav Makovka at 76.6%
71 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kotiash 0–2 Yaroslav Makovka Andrii Kotiash has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:14What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Makovka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kotiash 1454 vs Makovka 1527
Makovka
Correct
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotiash 0% vs Makovka 60%
Makovka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotiash 0% vs Makovka 50%
Makovka
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotiash -12 · Makovka +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Makovka) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kotiash form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotiash 2.63 / Makovka 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Makovka)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13155596
Kotiash2.63
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 12
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 55 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back24% 20 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back13% 7 of 56
Makovka1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite77% won 13 of 17
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKotiash0wins
AwayMakovka2wins
Makovka leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away2
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKotiashMakovkaK − MBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match27.540.0−12.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotiashMakovkaBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 469 vs 149 / 37547.1%39.7%221 / 469 vs 149 / 375Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MakovkaKotiash 2.63/Makovka 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Makovka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Makovka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 19 · 06:05A. Kotiash29811731Y. Makovka4211911113
LAug 22 · 06:05A. Kotiash26311391Y. Makovka3811511113
A. Kotiash10
LSep 12 · 11:05I. Efimenko1.131110811113A. Kotiash5.5041211492LSep 12 · 10:05A. Kotiash1.739720V. Bilobrov2.001111113LSep 12 · 09:05A. Kotiash2.20111791182Y. Kovshun1.61219118113LSep 12 · 07:35A. Kotiash3.406101101Y. Volkov1.3011129113LSep 12 · 05:35A. Kotiash2.5021090A. Troyan1.501112113LSep 11 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.30611911113A. Kotiash3.4011311392LSep 11 · 09:30A. Kotiash1.409720V. Bilobrov2.751111113LSep 11 · 08:30A. Kotiash2.2011184862O. Karpenko1.61216111193LSep 11 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.738950Y. Kovshun2.001111113LSep 11 · 05:00A. Kotiash2.2066100A. Troyan1.611111123
Y. Makovka10
WSep 19 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.0011811113V. Kryvenko1.73611981WSep 16 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi2.2071151242Y. Makovka1.611121110113WSep 16 · 09:35Y. Makovka2.751111163I. Pytsko1.4059140WSep 16 · 08:35Y. Makovka2.5011811113O. Storozhenko1.50911751LSep 16 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.509980Y. Tebenko1.501111113LSep 16 · 05:05Y. Makovka2.751181091D. Maltsev1.4041112113LSep 15 · 18:05Y. Makovka2.004660D. Maltsev1.731111113LSep 15 · 16:35Y. Makovka2.106950Y. Tebenko1.671111113WSep 15 · 15:05Y. Makovka1.60571111113I. Fashchevskyi2.2011117472LSep 15 · 13:35Y. Makovka2.2541131162O. Storozhenko1.57114119113
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