TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155129
Played Sep 19Finished
Yurii Volkov
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1199111186111214
Ivan Efimenko
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:14 and never touched — 61.4% is still 61.4%
Graded at full timeYurii Volkov to win
61.4%
61.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Ivan Efimenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 102 set 5, 12-14 — our read held Yurii Volkov at 61.4%
102 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 3–2 Ivan Efimenko Ivan Efimenko has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:14What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Volkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1638 vs Efimenko 1632
Volkov
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 60% vs Efimenko 40%
Volkov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 70% vs Efimenko 50%
Volkov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov +2 · Efimenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Volkov) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Efimenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 1.80 / Efimenko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Volkov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13155129
Volkov1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 163 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it98% 81 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it85% 118 of 139
Efimenko1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeVolkov3wins
AwayEfimenko2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderVolkov leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov100%3 of 3
AwayEfimenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov3Efimenko2n = 5Volkov took 3 of 5
S2Volkov3Efimenko2n = 5Volkov took 3 of 5
S3Volkov3Efimenko2n = 5Volkov took 3 of 5
S4Volkov1Efimenko2n = 3Efimenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricVolkovEfimenkoV − EBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match36.632.2+4.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovEfimenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime409 / 776 vs 17 / 2952.7%58.6%409 / 776 vs 17 / 29Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolkovVolkov 1.80/Efimenko 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Volkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Efimenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 12 · 09:35Y. Volkov341112113I. Efimenko2341090
LSep 5 · 11:19Y. Volkov36881191I. Efimenko3911116113
LSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov31811751I. Efimenko3911611113
WAug 29 · 08:05Y. Volkov46114911113I. Efimenko4111111992
WAug 22 · 05:05Y. Volkov361411113I. Efimenko1912520
Y. Volkov10
WSep 19 · 09:35Y. Volkov1.2881111113A. Kotiash3.50114221WSep 19 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.50871611113Y. Makovka2.50111114492LSep 19 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.809660Y. Kovshun1.911111113LSep 19 · 05:05Y. Volkov1.83671171V. Kryvenko1.8311114113WSep 18 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.7311119123Y. Kovshun2.009711101WSep 18 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.4011811113V. Bilobrov2.75911781WSep 18 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.5081311113S. Kyienko1.501111871WSep 18 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.611111113A. Troyan2.207850WSep 18 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.4081211113O. Karpenko2.751110791LSep 14 · 11:05Y. Volkov1.8384111352A. Obishchenko1.831111511113
I. Efimenko10
LSep 19 · 10:05I. Efimenko1.44614761Y. Makovka2.63111211113WSep 19 · 09:05I. Efimenko1.5011119113V. Kryvenko2.50841131WSep 19 · 07:35I. Efimenko1.2061112113A. Kotiash4.331161081LSep 19 · 05:35I. Efimenko1.44411771Y. Kovshun2.6311811113LSep 17 · 17:40A. Droshchynskyi2.00111111153I. Efimenko1.738713131WSep 17 · 16:10I. Efimenko1.80611119113A. Zozulia1.9111981192WSep 17 · 14:10Y. Holoborodko1.8011114472I. Efimenko1.91561111113LSep 17 · 12:10V. Merzlikin2.6311911113I. Efimenko1.44911291LSep 17 · 11:10V. Maksuta1.91711112113I. Efimenko1.8011941182WSep 12 · 11:05I. Efimenko1.131110811113A. Kotiash5.5041211492
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