TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Andrii Droshchynskyi
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115119711117––
Yaroslav Makovka
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:16 and never touched — 82.6% is still 82.6%
Graded at full timeAndrii Droshchynskyi to win
82.6%
82.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Droshchynskyi above · Yaroslav Makovka below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 72 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Andrii Droshchynskyi at 82.6%
72 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Droshchynskyi 10–5 Yaroslav Makovka Yaroslav Makovka has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:16What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Droshchynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-5 in 15
Droshchynskyi
Correct
gap of 5 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Droshchynskyi 1687 vs Makovka 1531
Droshchynskyi
Correct
both rated, 156 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Droshchynskyi 60% vs Makovka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Droshchynskyi 60% vs Makovka 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Droshchynskyi +2 · Makovka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Droshchynskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 83% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makovka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDroshchynskyi 1.17 / Makovka 4.50
Signal prob.84% / 16%
Edge (Droshchynskyi)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13161212
Droshchynskyi1.17
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 77 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it90% 54 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it75% 62 of 83
Makovka4.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog35% won 47 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDroshchynskyi9wins
AwayMakovka1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDroshchynskyi leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDroshchynskyi100%8 of 8
AwayMakovkan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Droshchynskyi8Makovka2n = 10Droshchynskyi took 8 of 10
S2Droshchynskyi10Makovka0n = 10Droshchynskyi took 10 of 10
S3Droshchynskyi6Makovka4n = 10Droshchynskyi took 6 of 10
S4Droshchynskyi3Makovka2n = 5Droshchynskyi took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDroshchynskyiMakovkaD − MBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.827.0+10.8per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDroshchynskyiMakovkaBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 223 vs 151 / 38057.4%39.7%128 / 223 vs 151 / 380Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DroshchynskyiDroshchynskyi 1.17/Makovka 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83.8%
Droshchynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Droshchynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 06:00A. Droshchynskyi4011117113Y. Makovka32591171
WAug 29 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi331111113Y. Makovka153840
WAug 2 · 08:05A. Droshchynskyi371511113Y. Makovka2113260
WJul 25 · 15:10A. Droshchynskyi331111113Y. Makovka153750
WJul 24 · 14:00A. Droshchynskyi331111113Y. Makovka167540
WJul 11 · 14:40A. Droshchynskyi331111113Y. Makovka269890
WJul 5 · 11:30A. Droshchynskyi3851111113Y. Makovka29119091
LJun 23 · 01:40A. Droshchynskyi36911971Y. Makovka3911611113
WJun 14 · 06:30A. Droshchynskyi4716119113Y. Makovka381481151
WJun 7 · 07:30A. Droshchynskyi48111169113Y. Makovka3964111172
A. Droshchynskyi10
WSep 20 · 04:30A. Droshchynskyi1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.756960WSep 19 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko2.6334120A. Droshchynskyi1.441111143LSep 19 · 16:10A. Droshchynskyi1.539340A. Zozulia2.381111113LSep 19 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk4.00981111113A. Droshchynskyi1.2211115482WSep 19 · 12:10V. Merzlikin3.754611111A. Droshchynskyi1.2511114133LSep 19 · 11:10O. Kuzyshyn1.83111113113A. Droshchynskyi1.83861551WSep 17 · 17:40A. Droshchynskyi2.00111111153I. Efimenko1.738713131LSep 17 · 15:40V. Maksuta1.8051111113A. Droshchynskyi1.91114871WSep 17 · 13:40V. Merzlikin4.00147331A. Droshchynskyi1.22121111113WSep 17 · 12:40A. Droshchynskyi1.73151358113A. Zozulia2.001311111172
Y. Makovka10
LSep 20 · 05:00O. Kuzyshyn1.2811112113Y. Makovka3.50761131WSep 19 · 12:05Y. Makovka2.251615710113Y. Kovshun1.571413111282WSep 19 · 10:05I. Efimenko1.44614761Y. Makovka2.63111211113LSep 19 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.50871611113Y. Makovka2.50111114492WSep 19 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.0011811113V. Kryvenko1.73611981WSep 19 · 06:05A. Kotiash2.63811731Y. Makovka1.4411911113WSep 16 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi2.2071151242Y. Makovka1.611121110113WSep 16 · 09:35Y. Makovka2.751111163I. Pytsko1.4059140WSep 16 · 08:35Y. Makovka2.5011811113O. Storozhenko1.50911751LSep 16 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.509980Y. Tebenko1.501111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Droshchynskyi
Y. Makovka
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