TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13137439
Played Sep 16Finished
Radek Vosyka
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117116611711511
Milan Flesar
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:47 and never touched — 71.2% is still 71.2%
Graded at full timeRadek Vosyka to win
71.2%
71.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Vosyka above · Milan Flesar below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 86 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Radek Vosyka at 71.2%
86 points played in total.
H2H Radek Vosyka 4–1 Milan Flesar Milan Flesar has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:47What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Vosyka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Vosyka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1570 vs Flesar 1458
Vosyka
Wrong
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 60% vs Flesar 40%
Vosyka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 40% vs Flesar 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka +2 · Flesar +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vosyka form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.36 / Flesar 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Vosyka)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13137439
Vosyka1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 82 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it95% 52 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it72% 67 of 93
Flesar3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 43 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back25% 17 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeVosyka4wins
AwayFlesar1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderVosyka leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVosyka80%4 of 5
AwayFlesarn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vosyka5Flesar0n = 5Vosyka took 5 of 5
S2Vosyka3Flesar2n = 5Vosyka took 3 of 5
S3Vosyka2Flesar3n = 5Flesar took 3 of 5
S4Vosyka4Flesar0n = 4Vosyka took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricVosykaFlesarV − FBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set50+5of 5Avg pointsper match42.834.8+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaFlesarBasisWin rate · lifetime194 / 378 vs 214 / 40751.3%52.6%194 / 378 vs 214 / 407Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.36/Flesar 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.2%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Flesar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 29 · 21:39R. Vosyka4011711113M. Flesar19711101
WAug 29 · 19:35R. Vosyka45121210113M. Flesar4110101291
WAug 13 · 15:05R. Vosyka4312119113M. Flesar371091171
WAug 11 · 10:05R. Vosyka341211113M. Flesar2410680
LJul 28 · 19:05R. Vosyka521191011112M. Flesar53811129133
R. Vosyka10
WSep 16 · 11:05R. Vosyka1.576111215113D. Hons2.25119101732WSep 16 · 10:05R. Vosyka1.44119511163M. Chmelicek2.63711115142LSep 14 · 13:35J. Joksch1.4411813143R. Vosyka2.6391111121WSep 14 · 12:35R. Vosyka1.611111113R. Pokorny2.207270LSep 14 · 11:05J. Joksch1.501111113R. Vosyka2.505860WSep 14 · 10:35R. Fitl1.8061651172R. Vosyka1.911114119113LSep 11 · 21:03S. Kafka1.831111113R. Vosyka1.839890LSep 11 · 20:05S. Kafka2.3891111113R. Vosyka1.53115471LSep 11 · 19:35D. Hons2.7511114113R. Vosyka1.40781191LSep 11 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.4013115862J. Martin2.751161111113
M. Flesar10
WSep 16 · 11:35M. Chmelicek1.8311581192M. Flesar1.83211119113LSep 16 · 10:35M. Flesar2.20661181D. Hons1.6111118113WSep 15 · 21:08J. Vidourek2.106970M. Flesar1.671111113LSep 15 · 20:35M. Flesar2.009111091D. Hons1.7311512113LSep 15 · 19:05R. Vavricka1.5711119113M. Flesar2.25691171LSep 15 · 18:35J. Vidourek1.83127813113M. Flesar1.831011111192WSep 10 · 21:10M. Flesar1.63118711113T. Krcil2.1531111482LSep 10 · 20:05S. Kafka1.531111153M. Flesar2.3895130LSep 10 · 19:35L. Vosyka1.67111197143M. Flesar2.10921111122WSep 10 · 18:35M. Flesar1.801118113T. Krcil1.9121670
Upcoming Matches
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