TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13137431
Played Sep 16Finished
Radek Vosyka
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
61111912101517113
David Hons
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:49 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeRadek Vosyka to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Vosyka above · David Hons below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 15-17
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 105 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Radek Vosyka at 59.3%
105 points played in total.
H2H Radek Vosyka 13–10 David Hons David Hons has won 10 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:49What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vosyka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-10 in 23
Vosyka
Correct
gap of 3 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1556 vs Hons 1667
Hons
Wrong
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 60% vs Hons 100%
Hons
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 30% vs Hons 90%
Hons
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka +1 · Hons +5
Hons
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vosyka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hons form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.57 / Hons 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Vosyka)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13137431
Vosyka1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 82 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it95% 52 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it72% 67 of 93
Hons2.25
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog42% won 60 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back9% 6 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVosyka7wins
AwayHons3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVosyka leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVosyka100%4 of 4
AwayHons50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vosyka4Hons6n = 10Hons took 6 of 10
S2Vosyka5Hons5n = 10split evenly
S3Vosyka8Hons2n = 10Vosyka took 8 of 10
S4Vosyka4Hons1n = 5Vosyka took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVosykaHonsV − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.432.4+4.0per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaHonsBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 377 vs 250 / 49551.2%50.5%193 / 377 vs 250 / 495Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.57/Hons 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 19:35R. Vosyka35781191D. Hons3711114113
WSep 8 · 15:05R. Vosyka331111113D. Hons207670
WSep 3 · 19:35R. Vosyka43111011113D. Hons31612581
WAug 29 · 18:35R. Vosyka341111123D. Hons2697100
LJul 16 · 10:05R. Vosyka208480D. Hons331111113
WJul 14 · 10:05R. Vosyka361211133D. Hons30109110
WJun 12 · 14:05R. Vosyka53991111133D. Hons50111198112
WMay 31 · 21:05R. Vosyka4291111113D. Hons34119951
LMay 31 · 20:35R. Vosyka2471070D. Hons341112113
WMay 17 · 21:10R. Vosyka44111111113D. Hons29132951
R. Vosyka10
LSep 16 · 12:05R. Vosyka1.3611116752M. Flesar3.00761111113WSep 16 · 10:05R. Vosyka1.44119511163M. Chmelicek2.63711115142LSep 14 · 13:35J. Joksch1.4411813143R. Vosyka2.6391111121WSep 14 · 12:35R. Vosyka1.611111113R. Pokorny2.207270LSep 14 · 11:05J. Joksch1.501111113R. Vosyka2.505860WSep 14 · 10:35R. Fitl1.8061651172R. Vosyka1.911114119113LSep 11 · 21:03S. Kafka1.831111113R. Vosyka1.839890LSep 11 · 20:05S. Kafka2.3891111113R. Vosyka1.53115471LSep 11 · 19:35D. Hons2.7511114113R. Vosyka1.40781191LSep 11 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.4013115862J. Martin2.751161111113
D. Hons10
WSep 16 · 10:35M. Flesar2.20661181D. Hons1.6111118113WSep 15 · 21:38D. Hons1.4411114113R. Vavricka2.63541191WSep 15 · 20:35M. Flesar2.009111091D. Hons1.7311512113WSep 15 · 19:35D. Hons1.8311311113J. Vidourek1.83711751WSep 15 · 18:05R. Vavricka2.107790D. Hons1.671111113WSep 13 · 21:45D. Hons1.8311911113R. Pokorny1.83311891WSep 13 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6791181172D. Hons2.10115114113WSep 13 · 19:35D. Hons1.6712116133R. Pokorny2.1010911111WSep 13 · 18:05L. Vosyka1.8097100D. Hons1.911111123WSep 11 · 19:35D. Hons2.7511114113R. Vosyka1.40781191
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