TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13124035
Played Sep 13Finished
Ladislav Vosyka
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9117111012––––
David Hons
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:24 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeDavid Hons to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Vosyka above · David Hons below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 60 set 3, 10-12 — our read held David Hons at 55.7%
60 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Vosyka 21–27 David Hons Ladislav Vosyka has won 21 of their 48 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:24What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vosyka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-27 in 48
Hons
Correct
gap of 6 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1487 vs Hons 1561
Hons
Correct
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 60% vs Hons 80%
Hons
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 60% vs Hons 80%
Hons
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka +1 · Hons -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hons form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.80 / Hons 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vosyka)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13124035
Vosyka1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 80 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it96% 47 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it76% 56 of 74
Hons1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog41% won 60 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back10% 7 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVosyka6wins
AwayHons4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVosyka leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVosyka60%3 of 5
AwayHons40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vosyka5Hons5n = 10split evenly
S2Vosyka6Hons4n = 10Vosyka took 6 of 10
S3Vosyka5Hons5n = 10split evenly
S4Vosyka3Hons2n = 5Vosyka took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVosykaHonsV − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.431.0+2.4per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaHonsBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 434 vs 241 / 48651.2%49.6%222 / 434 vs 241 / 486Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.80/Hons 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hons won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 17:09L. Vosyka188280D. Hons331111113
LSep 7 · 16:35L. Vosyka331151071D. Hons4281112113
WAug 27 · 15:35L. Vosyka48611711133D. Hons44115116112
WAug 24 · 19:35L. Vosyka331111113D. Hons186570
LJul 22 · 16:05L. Vosyka2171040D. Hons341112113
WJul 19 · 19:05L. Vosyka4291111113D. Hons27119341
WJul 7 · 20:35L. Vosyka4071111113D. Hons30116581
WJul 3 · 21:35L. Vosyka331111113D. Hons209560
WJul 3 · 20:05L. Vosyka331111113D. Hons238870
LJul 1 · 21:10L. Vosyka33119671D. Hons3961111113
L. Vosyka10
WSep 13 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.61111111113J. Vidourek2.20137441WSep 11 · 17:39O. Pros2.501171061L. Vosyka1.5081112113LSep 11 · 16:35L. Vosyka1.33711891O. Pros3.2511811113WSep 11 · 15:05J. Jr2.1011581462L. Vosyka1.678111112113WSep 11 · 14:35J. Martin2.10101111862L. Vosyka1.67126611113LSep 10 · 21:40L. Vosyka1.737970S. Kafka2.001111113LSep 10 · 20:35T. Krcil2.20117114113L. Vosyka1.6181161182WSep 10 · 19:35L. Vosyka1.67111197143M. Flesar2.10921111122WSep 10 · 18:05S. Kafka1.83481191L. Vosyka1.8311119113WSep 8 · 21:33M. Flesar2.0051111942L. Vosyka1.73119411113
D. Hons10
WSep 13 · 19:35D. Hons1.6712116133R. Pokorny2.1010911111LSep 12 · 21:34D. Hons1.836750K. Lahodny1.831111113WSep 12 · 20:35D. Hons1.611111113M. Chmelicek2.209690WSep 12 · 19:05R. Pokorny1.73811111072D. Hons2.00117512113WSep 12 · 18:35K. Lahodny2.1010119111D. Hons1.6712911133WSep 11 · 21:35J. Martin1.7259121182D. Hons1.931111105113LSep 11 · 20:35J. Martin1.8361111113D. Hons1.83118361WSep 11 · 19:35D. Hons2.7511114113R. Vosyka1.40781191WSep 11 · 18:05S. Kafka1.6157100D. Hons2.201111123WSep 9 · 21:05J. Vidourek1.539970D. Hons2.381111113
Upcoming Matches
L. Vosyka
Nothing scheduled
D. Hons
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