TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13119264
Played Sep 12Finished
Krystof Lahodny
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121199111113––
David Hons
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:18 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeDavid Hons to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKrystof Lahodny above · David Hons below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 86 set 4, 11-13 — our read held David Hons at 64.5%
86 points played in total.
H2H Krystof Lahodny 0–1 David Hons Krystof Lahodny has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:18What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hons
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Lahodny 1541 vs Hons 1521
Lahodny
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lahodny 80% vs Hons 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lahodny 70% vs Hons 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lahodny +4 · Hons +1
Lahodny
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hons) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hons form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLahodny 2.10 / Hons 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lahodny)+1.8pp
TT Cup · #13119264
Lahodny2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 12 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back21% 4 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Hons1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite61% won 50 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it73% 35 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLahodny0wins
AwayHons1wins
Hons leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLahodnyHonsL − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match39.043.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLahodnyHonsBasisWin rate · lifetime17 / 40 vs 238 / 48242.5%49.4%17 / 40 vs 238 / 482Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HonsLahodny 2.10/Hons 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hons · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hons won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 20 · 14:05K. Lahodny391011991D. Hons4312911113
K. Lahodny10
WSep 12 · 19:35M. Chmelicek2.251051371K. Lahodny1.57121111113WSep 12 · 13:35K. Lahodny1.531311113T. Motacek2.3811370WSep 12 · 12:05K. Lahodny2.251112163J. Jr1.57810140WSep 12 · 11:05K. Lahodny1.91611411113M. Chmelicek1.8011411742WSep 12 · 10:05K. Lahodny1.731111123T. Motacek2.0085100LSep 5 · 21:33K. Lahodny2.00114871R. Fitl1.7341111113WSep 5 · 20:05R. Fitl1.531611861K. Lahodny2.3818911113WSep 5 · 19:35J. Martin1.7371212792K. Lahodny2.0011101011113WSep 5 · 18:35K. Lahodny2.10411118113R. Vavricka1.6711881142LAug 31 · 13:05K. Lahodny2.2531190R. Fitl1.571113113
D. Hons10
WSep 12 · 19:05R. Pokorny1.73811111072D. Hons2.00117512113WSep 11 · 21:35J. Martin1.7259121182D. Hons1.931111105113LSep 11 · 20:35J. Martin1.8361111113D. Hons1.83118361WSep 11 · 19:35D. Hons2.7511114113R. Vosyka1.40781191WSep 11 · 18:05S. Kafka1.6157100D. Hons2.201111123WSep 9 · 21:05J. Vidourek1.539970D. Hons2.381111113WSep 9 · 20:35D. Hons2.0013311113J. Martin1.731111461LSep 9 · 19:05M. Flesar2.1091211113D. Hons1.671110641LSep 9 · 18:35J. Vidourek1.571213117113D. Hons2.25141151172WSep 8 · 17:10T. Krcil1.8351191142D. Hons1.83119118113
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