TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13126187
Played Sep 14Finished
Radek Fitl
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111614511119711
Radek Vosyka
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:21 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeRadek Fitl to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Fitl above · Radek Vosyka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 16-14
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 101 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Radek Fitl at 63.6%
101 points played in total.
H2H Radek Fitl 7–7 Radek Vosyka Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:21What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Fitl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fitl 1627 vs Vosyka 1545
Fitl
Wrong
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fitl 60% vs Vosyka 0%
Fitl
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fitl 60% vs Vosyka 20%
Fitl
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fitl +3 · Vosyka -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fitl) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vosyka form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFitl 1.80 / Vosyka 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Fitl)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13126187
Fitl1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 82 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it85% 45 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it78% 62 of 80
Vosyka1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 16 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back24% 5 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFitl5wins
AwayVosyka5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFitl100%4 of 4
AwayVosyka83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fitl4Vosyka6n = 10Vosyka took 6 of 10
S2Fitl3Vosyka7n = 10Vosyka took 7 of 10
S3Fitl5Vosyka5n = 10split evenly
S4Fitl4Vosyka2n = 6Fitl took 4 of 6
S5Fitl2Vosyka1n = 3Fitl took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricFitlVosykaF − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.038.0−2.0per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFitlVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime194 / 363 vs 190 / 37253.4%51.1%194 / 363 vs 190 / 372Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FitlFitl 1.80/Vosyka 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Fitl · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 12:35R. Fitl4011711113R. Vosyka28611471
WSep 8 · 17:39R. Fitl341211113R. Vosyka2610970
WSep 8 · 16:05R. Fitl4412147113R. Vosyka4010121171
LSep 3 · 20:05R. Fitl27111150R. Vosyka371313113
WAug 27 · 13:40R. Fitl51991111113R. Vosyka4011119272
LAug 27 · 10:35R. Fitl366101281R. Vosyka44111210113
LAug 24 · 16:05R. Fitl4381171342R. Vosyka521181111113
WAug 21 · 13:38R. Fitl48119116113R. Vosyka4791191172
LAug 21 · 11:35R. Fitl175570R. Vosyka331111113
LAug 18 · 10:35R. Fitl207490R. Vosyka331111113
R. Fitl10
WSep 14 · 11:35R. Pokorny2.10661161R. Fitl1.6711118113WSep 12 · 09:38R. Fitl2.10111213113J. Ruzicka1.677141151WSep 12 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.736101111122R. Fitl2.00111267143WSep 12 · 07:35R. Vavricka2.38117118162R. Fitl1.53711611183LSep 12 · 06:35R. Fitl1.7377111162J. Jr2.00111183113LSep 11 · 13:10R. Fitl1.67111011992R. Fnukal2.10912711113LSep 11 · 12:35R. Fitl1.73551191J. Lovl2.0011117113LSep 11 · 11:05R. Neterda2.009111111113R. Fitl1.7311137662WSep 11 · 10:35R. Fnukal1.836113111R. Fitl1.8311611133WSep 10 · 13:10M. Holub2.00811111162R. Fitl1.73111398113
R. Vosyka10
LSep 14 · 11:05J. Joksch1.501111113R. Vosyka2.505860LSep 11 · 21:03S. Kafka1.831111113R. Vosyka1.839890LSep 11 · 20:05S. Kafka2.3891111113R. Vosyka1.53115471LSep 11 · 19:35D. Hons2.7511114113R. Vosyka1.40781191LSep 11 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.4013115862J. Martin2.751161111113LSep 10 · 13:38R. Vosyka1.578480J. Ruzicka2.251111113LSep 10 · 12:35R. Vosyka1.83611471R. Fitl1.8311711113WSep 10 · 11:05M. Holub1.801011112132R. Vosyka1.91126911153WSep 10 · 10:35J. Ruzicka2.105480R. Vosyka1.661111113LSep 8 · 17:39R. Fitl2.001211113R. Vosyka1.7310970
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