Radek Fitl vs Jan Ruzicka 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13119463

Played Sep 12Finished

Radek Fitl

Home

2.10

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

11712141311115––

Jan Ruzicka

Away

1.67

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingRadek Fitl above · Jan Ruzicka below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 12-14

Set 3 · 13-11

Set 4 · 11-5

Point 84 set 4, 11-5

84 points played in total.

H2H Radek Fitl 8–8 Jan Ruzicka Dead even across their 16 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Head to head

Same-day rematch · 2h before this match

Fitl beat Ruzicka 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Ruzicka)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Ruzicka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsFitl 2.10 / Ruzicka 1.67

Signal prob.44% / 56%

Edge (Ruzicka)+0.0pp

TT Cup · #13119463

Fitl2.10

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog47% won 61 of 130

Down 0–1, comes back25% 18 of 72

Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 37

Ruzicka1.67

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite57% won 84 of 147

Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50

Up 1–0, closes it84% 67 of 80

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeFitl7wins

AwayRuzicka3wins

3 of 10 to a deciderFitl leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeFitl85.7%6 of 7

AwayRuzicka66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Fitl7Ruzicka3n = 10Fitl took 7 of 10

S2Fitl8Ruzicka2n = 10Fitl took 8 of 10

S3Fitl6Ruzicka4n = 10Fitl took 6 of 10

S4Fitl1Ruzicka4n = 5Ruzicka took 4 of 5

S5Fitl2Ruzicka1n = 3Fitl took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home440%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricFitlRuzickaF − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.435.1+4.3per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricFitlRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 362 vs 221 / 42353.3%52.3%193 / 362 vs 221 / 423Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Ruzicka

Fitl 2.10/Ruzicka 1.67

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

55.8%

Ruzicka · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Fitl won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 12 · 08:05R. Fitl—111267143J. Ruzicka—6101111122

LSep 10 · 11:35R. Fitl—1358101J. Ruzicka—111111123

LAug 20 · 14:35R. Fitl—811111092J. Ruzicka—113612113

WAug 11 · 18:35R. Fitl—1111113J. Ruzicka—4590

WAug 6 · 16:05R. Fitl—1213129113J. Ruzicka—1411101182

WAug 4 · 20:05R. Fitl—1113113J. Ruzicka—41180

LAug 2 · 09:43R. Fitl—61250J. Ruzicka—1114113

WAug 2 · 08:05R. Fitl—1111113J. Ruzicka—8880

WAug 1 · 06:05R. Fitl—1114113J. Ruzicka—91260

WJul 28 · 13:44R. Fitl—11119113J. Ruzicka—961151

R. Fitl10

WSep 12 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.736101111122R. Fitl2.00111267143 WSep 12 · 07:35R. Vavricka2.38117118162R. Fitl1.53711611183 LSep 12 · 06:35R. Fitl1.7377111162J. Jr2.00111183113 LSep 11 · 13:10R. Fitl1.67111011992R. Fnukal2.10912711113 LSep 11 · 12:35R. Fitl1.73551191J. Lovl2.0011117113 LSep 11 · 11:05R. Neterda2.009111111113R. Fitl1.7311137662 WSep 11 · 10:35R. Fnukal1.836113111R. Fitl1.8311611133 WSep 10 · 13:10M. Holub2.00811111162R. Fitl1.73111398113 WSep 10 · 12:35R. Vosyka1.83611471R. Fitl1.8311711113 LSep 10 · 11:35R. Fitl1.731358101J. Ruzicka2.00111111123

J. Ruzicka10

LSep 12 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.736101111122R. Fitl2.00111267143 WSep 12 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.44111111113J. Jr2.63139891 WSep 12 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.53111147113R. Vavricka2.3875111152 WSep 10 · 13:38R. Vosyka1.578480J. Ruzicka2.251111113 WSep 10 · 12:05M. Holub1.7341113182J. Ruzicka2.001181111113 WSep 10 · 11:35R. Fitl1.731358101J. Ruzicka2.00111111123 LSep 10 · 10:35J. Ruzicka2.105480R. Vosyka1.661111113 WSep 6 · 09:35J. Ruzicka1.83591211113J. Lovl1.83111110472 LSep 6 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.257126121M. Flesar3.75111011143 WSep 6 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.9191111123J. Lovl1.801194101

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