TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13117670
Played Sep 12Finished
Jan Ruzicka
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113119118119––
Jan Manhal Jr
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:44 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeJan Ruzicka to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Ruzicka above · Jan Manhal Jr below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 83 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jan Ruzicka at 67.7%
83 points played in total.
H2H Jan Ruzicka 3–2 Jan Manhal Jr Jan Manhal Jr has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:44What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Ruzicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1696 vs Jr 1463
Ruzicka
Correct
both rated, 233 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 80% vs Jr 40%
Ruzicka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 70% vs Jr 40%
Ruzicka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka +4 · Jr +1
Ruzicka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Ruzicka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 1.44 / Jr 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Ruzicka)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13117670
Ruzicka1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 84 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it84% 67 of 80
Jr2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 6 of 18
Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeRuzicka3wins
AwayJr2wins
3 of 5 to a deciderRuzicka leads 3–2, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka75%3 of 4
AwayJrn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka4Jr1n = 5Ruzicka took 4 of 5
S2Ruzicka1Jr4n = 5Jr took 4 of 5
S3Ruzicka4Jr1n = 5Ruzicka took 4 of 5
S4Ruzicka1Jr3n = 4Jr took 3 of 4
S5Ruzicka2Jr1n = 3Ruzicka took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricRuzickaJrR − JBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match38.437.2+1.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaJrBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 421 vs 17 / 3952.3%43.6%220 / 421 vs 17 / 39Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaRuzicka 1.44/Jr 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 23 · 07:05J. Ruzicka—1111113J. Jr—7570
LAug 13 · 15:35J. Ruzicka—410111162J. Jr—111235113
WAug 6 · 17:14J. Ruzicka—116118113J. Jr—51181142
WAug 6 · 15:05J. Ruzicka—116113113J. Jr—71181182
LJul 26 · 09:33J. Ruzicka—113681J. Jr—81111113
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 12 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.53111147113R. Vavricka2.3875111152WSep 10 · 13:38R. Vosyka1.578480J. Ruzicka2.251111113WSep 10 · 12:05M. Holub1.7341113182J. Ruzicka2.001181111113WSep 10 · 11:35R. Fitl1.731358101J. Ruzicka2.00111111123LSep 10 · 10:35J. Ruzicka2.105480R. Vosyka1.661111113WSep 6 · 09:35J. Ruzicka1.83591211113J. Lovl1.83111110472LSep 6 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.257126121M. Flesar3.75111011143WSep 6 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.9191111123J. Lovl1.801194101WSep 6 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.531211113J. Martin2.3810670LSep 5 · 13:40J. Lovl1.6711711113J. Ruzicka2.10711791
J. Jr10
WSep 12 · 06:35R. Fitl1.7377111162J. Jr2.00111183113LSep 11 · 17:10J. Martin1.531111133J. Jr2.3889110LSep 11 · 16:05J. Jr2.2011511972J. Martin1.61711911113LSep 11 · 15:05J. Jr2.1011581462L. Vosyka1.678111112113WSep 11 · 14:05J. Jr1.3691111113O. Pros3.00116551WSep 4 · 17:03R. Fitl1.731191071J. Jr2.0091112113WSep 4 · 16:35J. Jr1.731111133M. Flesar2.0089110LSep 4 · 15:05R. Neterda2.381112113J. Jr1.5391050LSep 4 · 14:35R. Fitl1.801114173J. Jr1.91812150LAug 24 · 17:18J. Jr1.8361161182R. Fitl1.83118119113
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