TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13112424
Played Sep 11Finished
Radek Fitl
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511511117911––
Jan Lovl
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:43 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeRadek Fitl to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Fitl above · Jan Lovl below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 70 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Radek Fitl at 56.1%
70 points played in total.
H2H Radek Fitl 7–9 Jan Lovl Radek Fitl has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:43What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Fitl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Lovl
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fitl 1651 vs Lovl 1524
Fitl
Wrong
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fitl 60% vs Lovl 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fitl 70% vs Lovl 50%
Fitl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fitl -1 · Lovl -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fitl) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFitl 1.73 / Lovl 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Fitl)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13112424
Fitl1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite64% won 87 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it87% 46 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it81% 66 of 82
Lovl2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 24 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back23% 10 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFitl6wins
AwayLovl4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderFitl leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFitl85.7%6 of 7
AwayLovl100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fitl7Lovl3n = 10Fitl took 7 of 10
S2Fitl3Lovl7n = 10Lovl took 7 of 10
S3Fitl4Lovl6n = 10Lovl took 6 of 10
S4Fitl3Lovl2n = 5Fitl took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricFitlLovlF − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.934.5+0.4per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFitlLovlBasisWin rate · lifetime191 / 357 vs 173 / 33553.5%51.6%191 / 357 vs 173 / 335Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FitlFitl 1.73/Lovl 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Fitl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lovl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 13:34R. Fitl—114911113J. Lovl—61111672
WSep 8 · 12:05R. Fitl—11711113J. Lovl—211871
WAug 21 · 10:35R. Fitl—1213113J. Lovl—101150
LAug 14 · 12:35R. Fitl—3980J. Lovl—1111113
LAug 7 · 13:08R. Fitl—1167101J. Lovl—81111123
WAug 7 · 12:35R. Fitl—111197123J. Lovl—781111102
LAug 6 · 13:04R. Fitl—61290J. Lovl—1114113
WAug 6 · 10:35R. Fitl—1111163J. Lovl—98140
WAug 5 · 12:35R. Fitl—11411113J. Lovl—511831
LAug 1 · 11:05R. Fitl—61050J. Lovl—1112113
R. Fitl10
LSep 11 · 13:10R. Fitl1.67111011992R. Fnukal2.10912711113LSep 11 · 11:05R. Neterda2.009111111113R. Fitl1.7311137662WSep 11 · 10:35R. Fnukal1.836113111R. Fitl1.8311611133WSep 10 · 13:10M. Holub2.00811111162R. Fitl1.73111398113WSep 10 · 12:35R. Vosyka1.83611471R. Fitl1.8311711113LSep 10 · 11:35R. Fitl1.731358101J. Ruzicka2.00111111123LSep 10 · 10:05M. Holub2.00111198113R. Fitl1.7377111172WSep 8 · 17:39R. Fitl2.001211113R. Vosyka1.7310970WSep 8 · 16:05R. Vosyka1.5710121171R. Fitl2.2512147113WSep 8 · 15:35T. Krcil2.63611521R. Fitl1.4411611113
J. Lovl10
LSep 11 · 13:40J. Lovl1.5312651182R. Neterda2.381011114113LSep 11 · 11:35J. Lovl2.63612111172R. Fnukal1.44111473113WSep 11 · 10:05R. Neterda2.00771211102J. Lovl1.731111101123WSep 9 · 13:15J. Lovl1.44891111113M. Chmelicek2.6311117962LSep 9 · 12:05R. Neterda2.101111113J. Lovl1.676320WSep 9 · 11:35M. Chmelicek2.2061111101J. Lovl1.6111913123LSep 9 · 10:35J. Lovl1.57114771R. Vavricka2.2581111113LSep 8 · 13:34R. Fitl1.80114911113J. Lovl1.9161111672LSep 8 · 12:05R. Fitl1.8311711113J. Lovl1.83211871WSep 8 · 11:35O. Pros2.7534121162J. Lovl1.401111107113
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