TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13115083
Played Sep 11Finished
Radek Fitl
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191012117911911
Radek Fnukal
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:06 and never touched — 62.3% is still 62.3%
Graded at full timeRadek Fitl to win
62.3%
62.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Fitl above · Radek Fnukal below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 100 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Radek Fitl at 62.3%
100 points played in total.
H2H Radek Fitl 6–4 Radek Fnukal Radek Fnukal has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Fitl beat Fnukal 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:06What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Fitl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Fitl
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fitl 1620 vs Fnukal 1526
Fitl
Wrong
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fitl 60% vs Fnukal 20%
Fitl
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fitl 60% vs Fnukal 30%
Fitl
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fitl -2 · Fnukal -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Fitl) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fnukal form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFitl 1.67 / Fnukal 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Fitl)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13115083
Fitl1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 87 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it87% 46 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it81% 66 of 82
Fnukal2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog55% won 11 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back42% 5 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFitl6wins
AwayFnukal4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFitl leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFitl57.1%4 of 7
AwayFnukal33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fitl7Fnukal3n = 10Fitl took 7 of 10
S2Fitl4Fnukal6n = 10Fnukal took 6 of 10
S3Fitl3Fnukal7n = 10Fnukal took 7 of 10
S4Fitl5Fnukal4n = 9Fitl took 5 of 9
S5Fitl3Fnukal1n = 4Fitl took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFitlFnukalFitl − FnukalBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.842.3+1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFitlFnukalBasisWin rate · lifetime191 / 358 vs 65 / 13353.4%48.9%191 / 358 vs 65 / 133Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FitlFitl 1.67/Fnukal 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59%
Fitl · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fnukal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 10:35R. Fitl—11611133R. Fnukal—6113111
WSep 7 · 17:40R. Fitl—1261111123R. Fnukal—1011813102
WSep 7 · 16:05R. Fitl—1411411113R. Fnukal—16611562
WSep 4 · 12:35R. Fitl—1111139113R. Fnukal—97151172
LAug 14 · 13:04R. Fitl—135991R. Fnukal—111111113
WAug 14 · 10:35R. Fitl—11167113R. Fnukal—6141181
LJul 26 · 17:15R. Fitl—1110711112R. Fnukal—512118133
LJul 26 · 14:35R. Fitl—71090R. Fnukal—1112113
WJul 26 · 10:05R. Fitl—81111113R. Fnukal—116861
LJul 19 · 16:35R. Fitl—1194171R. Fnukal—91111193
R. Fitl10
LSep 11 · 12:35R. Fitl1.73551191J. Lovl2.0011117113LSep 11 · 11:05R. Neterda2.009111111113R. Fitl1.7311137662WSep 11 · 10:35R. Fnukal1.836113111R. Fitl1.8311611133WSep 10 · 13:10M. Holub2.00811111162R. Fitl1.73111398113WSep 10 · 12:35R. Vosyka1.83611471R. Fitl1.8311711113LSep 10 · 11:35R. Fitl1.731358101J. Ruzicka2.00111111123LSep 10 · 10:05M. Holub2.00111198113R. Fitl1.7377111172WSep 8 · 17:39R. Fitl2.001211113R. Vosyka1.7310970WSep 8 · 16:05R. Vosyka1.5710121171R. Fitl2.2512147113WSep 8 · 15:35T. Krcil2.63611521R. Fitl1.4411611113
R. Fnukal10
LSep 11 · 12:05R. Neterda2.20771111113R. Fnukal1.6111114882WSep 11 · 11:35J. Lovl2.63612111172R. Fnukal1.44111473113LSep 11 · 10:35R. Fnukal1.836113111R. Fitl1.8311611133LSep 7 · 17:40R. Fitl1.911261111123R. Fnukal1.801011813102LSep 7 · 16:05R. Fnukal1.7316611562R. Fitl2.001411411113WSep 7 · 15:05R. Fnukal1.671111113D. Hons2.107870WSep 7 · 14:05R. Fnukal1.831111119113L. Vosyka1.8351381162LSep 4 · 13:20R. Pokorny2.101071111113R. Fnukal1.6712116982LSep 4 · 12:35R. Fitl2.101111139113R. Fnukal1.6797151172LSep 4 · 11:35R. Fnukal1.6781111852R. Pokorny2.10119811113
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