TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13127070
Played Sep 14Finished
Jakub Joksch
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118116––––
Radek Vosyka
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:17 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeJakub Joksch to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Joksch above · Radek Vosyka below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 52 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Jakub Joksch at 65.7%
52 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Joksch 5–2 Radek Vosyka Radek Vosyka has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:17What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Joksch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Joksch
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Joksch 1737 vs Vosyka 1550
Joksch
Correct
both rated, 187 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Joksch 60% vs Vosyka 20%
Joksch
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Joksch 60% vs Vosyka 30%
Joksch
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Joksch -1 · Vosyka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Joksch) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vosyka form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJoksch 1.50 / Vosyka 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Joksch)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13127070
Joksch1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 20 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Vosyka2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 16 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back24% 5 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeJoksch5wins
AwayVosyka2wins
2 of 7 to a deciderJoksch leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJoksch100%5 of 5
AwayVosykan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Joksch5Vosyka2n = 7Joksch took 5 of 7
S2Joksch7Vosyka0n = 7Joksch took 7 of 7
S3Joksch4Vosyka3n = 7Joksch took 4 of 7
S4Joksch1Vosyka2n = 3Vosyka took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home457%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricJokschVosykaJ − VBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match38.330.7+7.6per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJokschVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime55 / 108 vs 191 / 37450.9%51.1%55 / 108 vs 191 / 374Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JokschJoksch 1.50/Vosyka 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Joksch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Joksch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 14 · 11:05J. Joksch331111113R. Vosyka195860
WJul 31 · 11:05J. Joksch331111113R. Vosyka206680
WJul 24 · 13:35J. Joksch341112113R. Vosyka2131080
LJul 24 · 11:05J. Joksch388111271R. Vosyka4511914113
WJul 21 · 13:15J. Joksch52111578113R. Vosyka48513111182
LJul 21 · 10:05J. Joksch45811511102R. Vosyka42111117123
WFeb 2 · 13:35J. Joksch331111113R. Vosyka205780
J. Joksch10
LSep 14 · 10:05J. Joksch1.22111211982R. Pokorny4.001310911113WSep 5 · 09:40J. Joksch1.781110129113M. Mastera1.93912101172WSep 5 · 08:35J. Joksch1.611111113T. Trnka2.208970WSep 5 · 07:05M. Kucera1.44861131J. Joksch2.6311115113LSep 5 · 06:35M. Mastera1.73118511113J. Joksch2.0091111442LSep 4 · 13:50J. Joksch1.3021112992R. Fitl3.401191011113WSep 4 · 12:05J. Joksch1.301111113R. Pokorny3.408670WSep 4 · 11:05J. Joksch1.361111113R. Fitl3.009870LSep 4 · 10:05J. Joksch1.44561651R. Fnukal2.63111114113WSep 1 · 17:45J. Joksch1.691112113J. Ruzicka1.9771060
R. Vosyka10
WSep 14 · 10:35R. Fitl1.8061651172R. Vosyka1.911114119113LSep 11 · 21:03S. Kafka1.831111113R. Vosyka1.839890LSep 11 · 20:05S. Kafka2.3891111113R. Vosyka1.53115471LSep 11 · 19:35D. Hons2.7511114113R. Vosyka1.40781191LSep 11 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.4013115862J. Martin2.751161111113LSep 10 · 13:38R. Vosyka1.578480J. Ruzicka2.251111113LSep 10 · 12:35R. Vosyka1.83611471R. Fitl1.8311711113WSep 10 · 11:05M. Holub1.801011112132R. Vosyka1.91126911153WSep 10 · 10:35J. Ruzicka2.105480R. Vosyka1.661111113LSep 8 · 17:39R. Fitl2.001211113R. Vosyka1.7310970
Upcoming Matches
J. Joksch
Nothing scheduled
R. Vosyka
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