TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13126798
Played Sep 14Finished
Jakub Joksch
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11131210119911811
Radim Pokorny
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:17 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeJakub Joksch to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Joksch above · Radim Pokorny below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 105 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jakub Joksch at 56.4%
105 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Joksch 4–0 Radim Pokorny Radim Pokorny has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:17What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Joksch
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Joksch
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Joksch 1747 vs Pokorny 1485
Joksch
Wrong
both rated, 262 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Joksch 60% vs Pokorny 40%
Joksch
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Joksch 70% vs Pokorny 50%
Joksch
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Joksch +3 · Pokorny -1
Joksch
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Joksch) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pokorny form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJoksch 1.22 / Pokorny 4.00
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Joksch)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13126798
Joksch1.22
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 20 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Pokorny4.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 41 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back26% 13 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeJoksch4wins
AwayPokorny0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderJoksch leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJoksch100%4 of 4
AwayPokornyn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Joksch4Pokorny0n = 4Joksch took 4 of 4
S2Joksch4Pokorny0n = 4Joksch took 4 of 4
S3Joksch3Pokorny1n = 4Joksch took 3 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home375%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricJokschPokornyJ − PBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match37.526.5+11.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJokschPokornyBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 106 vs 153 / 31050.9%49.4%54 / 106 vs 153 / 310Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JokschJoksch 1.22/Pokorny 4.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79.4%
Joksch · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pokorny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 4 · 12:05J. Joksch331111113R. Pokorny218670
WAug 7 · 13:40J. Joksch341111123R. Pokorny2257100
WAug 7 · 12:05J. Joksch341211113R. Pokorny2310850
WJul 12 · 10:35J. Joksch49111476113R. Pokorny40212111142
J. Joksch10
WSep 5 · 09:40J. Joksch1.781110129113M. Mastera1.93912101172WSep 5 · 08:35J. Joksch1.611111113T. Trnka2.208970WSep 5 · 07:05M. Kucera1.44861131J. Joksch2.6311115113LSep 5 · 06:35M. Mastera1.73118511113J. Joksch2.0091111442LSep 4 · 13:50J. Joksch1.3021112992R. Fitl3.401191011113WSep 4 · 12:05J. Joksch1.301111113R. Pokorny3.408670WSep 4 · 11:05J. Joksch1.361111113R. Fitl3.009870LSep 4 · 10:05J. Joksch1.44561651R. Fnukal2.63111114113WSep 1 · 17:45J. Joksch1.691112113J. Ruzicka1.9771060WSep 1 · 16:05T. Beran1.7311391172J. Joksch2.00611117113
R. Pokorny10
LSep 13 · 21:45D. Hons1.8311911113R. Pokorny1.83311891WSep 13 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.671110491R. Pokorny2.1051211113LSep 13 · 19:35D. Hons1.6712116133R. Pokorny2.1010911111LSep 13 · 18:35R. Pokorny1.4411941272J. Vidourek2.638111110113WSep 13 · 17:34J. Lovl2.63811781R. Pokorny1.4411211113LSep 13 · 16:05J. Lovl2.7511101210113R. Pokorny1.40812101272WSep 13 · 15:35J. Vidourek2.63711881R. Pokorny1.4411711113WSep 13 · 14:35R. Pokorny2.75111311113K. Lahodny1.40515781WSep 12 · 21:05M. Chmelicek7.0010870R. Pokorny1.081211113LSep 4 · 12:05J. Joksch1.301111113R. Pokorny3.408670
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