TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13125069
Played Sep 13Finished
Jan Vidourek
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711117811811––
Radim Pokorny
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:15 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeRadim Pokorny to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Vidourek above · Radim Pokorny below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Radim Pokorny at 66.1%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jan Vidourek 2–6 Radim Pokorny Jan Vidourek has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:15What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Pokorny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Pokorny
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vidourek 1492 vs Pokorny 1510
Pokorny
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vidourek 20% vs Pokorny 40%
Pokorny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vidourek 40% vs Pokorny 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vidourek -4 · Pokorny +2
Vidourek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Pokorny) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pokorny form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVidourek 2.63 / Pokorny 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Pokorny)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13125069
Vidourek2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog49% won 47 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back28% 14 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 32
Pokorny1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 41 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it80% 36 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeVidourek2wins
AwayPokorny6wins
3 of 8 to a deciderPokorny leads 6–2, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVidourek50%2 of 4
AwayPokorny100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vidourek4Pokorny4n = 8split evenly
S2Vidourek1Pokorny7n = 8Pokorny took 7 of 8
S3Vidourek2Pokorny6n = 8Pokorny took 6 of 8
S4Vidourek2Pokorny1n = 3Vidourek took 2 of 3
S5Vidourek1Pokorny2n = 3Pokorny took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away450%
These 8 meetings
MetricVidourekPokornyV − PBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match31.138.2−7.1per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVidourekPokornyBasisWin rate · lifetime168 / 325 vs 150 / 30351.7%49.5%168 / 325 vs 150 / 303Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PokornyVidourek 2.63/Pokorny 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Pokorny · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pokorny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 31 · 21:15J. Vidourek30121170R. Pokorny381413113
LAug 31 · 18:05J. Vidourek2061130R. Pokorny351113113
LAug 30 · 19:05J. Vidourek239770R. Pokorny331111113
LAug 11 · 18:05J. Vidourek121470R. Pokorny331111113
LMar 26 · 22:05J. Vidourek3411212362R. Pokorny496111011113
WMar 26 · 20:05J. Vidourek351111133R. Pokorny2559110
LMar 14 · 16:05J. Vidourek46119511102R. Pokorny47711116123
WDec 23 · 11:35J. Vidourek49117611143R. Pokorny46511117122
J. Vidourek10
LSep 13 · 14:05J. Lovl1.5011118123J. Vidourek2.405611101LSep 9 · 21:05J. Vidourek1.539970D. Hons2.381111113LSep 9 · 20:05M. Flesar2.0011911113J. Vidourek1.73811881LSep 9 · 19:35J. Martin2.001111113J. Vidourek1.739680WSep 9 · 18:35J. Vidourek1.571213117113D. Hons2.25141151172WSep 8 · 21:03J. Vidourek2.0081111113R. Neterda1.73116551WSep 8 · 20:35J. Vidourek2.2511411113L. Vosyka1.57411991WSep 8 · 19:05R. Neterda1.618119101J. Vidourek2.2011611123LSep 8 · 18:35M. Flesar2.001111113J. Vidourek1.737880LSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113
R. Pokorny10
WSep 13 · 14:35R. Pokorny2.75111311113K. Lahodny1.40515781WSep 12 · 21:05M. Chmelicek7.0010870R. Pokorny1.081211113LSep 12 · 20:05R. Pokorny1.506830K. Lahodny2.501111113LSep 12 · 19:05R. Pokorny1.73811111072D. Hons2.00117512113LSep 12 · 18:05R. Pokorny1.448560M. Chmelicek2.631111113WSep 4 · 13:20R. Pokorny2.101071111113R. Fnukal1.6712116982LSep 4 · 12:05J. Joksch1.301111113R. Pokorny3.408670WSep 4 · 11:35R. Fnukal1.6781111852R. Pokorny2.10119811113LSep 4 · 10:35R. Pokorny1.7312471122R. Fitl2.001011116113LSep 1 · 13:50M. Holub1.691111113R. Pokorny1.978460
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