TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13124215
Played Sep 13Finished
Jan Lovl
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151168111210––
Jan Vidourek
Away
2.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Lovl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Lovl above · Jan Vidourek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 74 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Jan Lovl at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jan Lovl 3–3 Jan Vidourek Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:11What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Lovl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lovl 1542 vs Vidourek 1490
Lovl
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lovl 60% vs Vidourek 40%
Lovl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lovl 40% vs Vidourek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lovl -1 · Vidourek -3
Vidourek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Lovl) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLovl 1.50 / Vidourek 2.40
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Lovl)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13124215
Lovl1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 65 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it77% 53 of 69
Vidourek2.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog49% won 47 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back28% 14 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeLovl3wins
AwayVidourek3wins
4 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLovl60%3 of 5
AwayVidourekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lovl5Vidourek1n = 6Lovl took 5 of 6
S2Lovl4Vidourek2n = 6Lovl took 4 of 6
S3Lovl1Vidourek5n = 6Vidourek took 5 of 6
S4Lovl4Vidourek2n = 6Lovl took 4 of 6
S5Lovl1Vidourek3n = 4Vidourek took 3 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away350%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricLovlVidourekL − VBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match45.040.2+4.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLovlVidourekBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 337 vs 168 / 32451.6%51.9%174 / 337 vs 168 / 324Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LovlLovl 1.50/Vidourek 2.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.3%
Lovl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lovl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 9 · 19:35J. Lovl521111136113J. Vidourek4466151162
WMar 14 · 15:05J. Lovl43111110113J. Vidourek29571251
LDec 22 · 14:40J. Lovl4491191142J. Vidourek42111118113
WDec 22 · 12:35J. Lovl4011117113J. Vidourek33771181
LDec 6 · 18:45J. Lovl49119711112J. Vidourek49711117133
LDec 6 · 16:05J. Lovl4211711492J. Vidourek44511611113
J. Lovl10
LSep 11 · 13:40J. Lovl1.5312651182R. Neterda2.381011114113WSep 11 · 12:35R. Fitl1.73551191J. Lovl2.0011117113LSep 11 · 11:35J. Lovl2.63612111172R. Fnukal1.44111473113WSep 11 · 10:05R. Neterda2.00771211102J. Lovl1.731111101123WSep 9 · 13:15J. Lovl1.44891111113M. Chmelicek2.6311117962LSep 9 · 12:05R. Neterda2.101111113J. Lovl1.676320WSep 9 · 11:35M. Chmelicek2.2061111101J. Lovl1.6111913123LSep 9 · 10:35J. Lovl1.57114771R. Vavricka2.2581111113LSep 8 · 13:34R. Fitl1.80114911113J. Lovl1.9161111672LSep 8 · 12:05R. Fitl1.8311711113J. Lovl1.83211871
J. Vidourek10
LSep 9 · 21:05J. Vidourek1.539970D. Hons2.381111113LSep 9 · 20:05M. Flesar2.0011911113J. Vidourek1.73811881LSep 9 · 19:35J. Martin2.001111113J. Vidourek1.739680WSep 9 · 18:35J. Vidourek1.571213117113D. Hons2.25141151172WSep 8 · 21:03J. Vidourek2.0081111113R. Neterda1.73116551WSep 8 · 20:35J. Vidourek2.2511411113L. Vosyka1.57411991WSep 8 · 19:05R. Neterda1.618119101J. Vidourek2.2011611123LSep 8 · 18:35M. Flesar2.001111113J. Vidourek1.737880LSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115851
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