TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13127291
Played Sep 14Finished
Radim Pokorny
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611611118611––
Radek Fitl
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:55 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Fitl to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Pokorny above · Radek Fitl below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 70 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Radek Fitl at 59.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Radim Pokorny 9–10 Radek Fitl Radim Pokorny has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 24:55What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Fitl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-10 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pokorny 1502 vs Fitl 1613
Fitl
Correct
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pokorny 40% vs Fitl 60%
Fitl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pokorny 60% vs Fitl 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pokorny +1 · Fitl -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Fitl)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPokorny 2.10 / Fitl 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Fitl)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13127291
Pokorny2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 41 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back26% 13 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 34
Fitl1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 82 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it85% 45 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it78% 62 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePokorny5wins
AwayFitl5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePokorny50%2 of 4
AwayFitl50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pokorny4Fitl6n = 10Fitl took 6 of 10
S2Pokorny3Fitl7n = 10Fitl took 7 of 10
S3Pokorny7Fitl3n = 10Pokorny took 7 of 10
S4Pokorny5Fitl3n = 8Pokorny took 5 of 8
S5Pokorny2Fitl2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPokornyFitlP − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.438.8−0.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPokornyFitlBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 311 vs 194 / 36449.5%53.3%154 / 311 vs 194 / 364Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FitlPokorny 2.10/Fitl 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59%
Fitl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fitl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 10:35R. Pokorny3612471122R. Fitl491011116113
WAug 30 · 20:05R. Pokorny4211911113R. Fitl33711691
WAug 15 · 13:40R. Pokorny331111113R. Fitl133730
LAug 15 · 12:05R. Pokorny337111141R. Fitl4111136113
LAug 11 · 21:38R. Pokorny30561181R. Fitl4211119113
LAug 11 · 20:05R. Pokorny2714670R. Fitl381611113
WAug 7 · 11:35R. Pokorny48611711133R. Fitl40114113112
WAug 6 · 11:05R. Pokorny4581111153R. Fitl371167131
LAug 5 · 13:33R. Pokorny4312911652R. Fitl481011511113
WAug 5 · 11:35R. Pokorny47771111113R. Fitl4711118892
R. Pokorny10
WSep 14 · 10:05J. Joksch1.22111211982R. Pokorny4.001310911113LSep 13 · 21:45D. Hons1.8311911113R. Pokorny1.83311891WSep 13 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.671110491R. Pokorny2.1051211113LSep 13 · 19:35D. Hons1.6712116133R. Pokorny2.1010911111LSep 13 · 18:35R. Pokorny1.4411941272J. Vidourek2.638111110113WSep 13 · 17:34J. Lovl2.63811781R. Pokorny1.4411211113LSep 13 · 16:05J. Lovl2.7511101210113R. Pokorny1.40812101272WSep 13 · 15:35J. Vidourek2.63711881R. Pokorny1.4411711113WSep 13 · 14:35R. Pokorny2.75111311113K. Lahodny1.40515781WSep 12 · 21:05M. Chmelicek7.0010870R. Pokorny1.081211113
R. Fitl10
LSep 14 · 10:35R. Fitl1.8061651172R. Vosyka1.911114119113WSep 12 · 09:38R. Fitl2.10111213113J. Ruzicka1.677141151WSep 12 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.736101111122R. Fitl2.00111267143WSep 12 · 07:35R. Vavricka2.38117118162R. Fitl1.53711611183LSep 12 · 06:35R. Fitl1.7377111162J. Jr2.00111183113LSep 11 · 13:10R. Fitl1.67111011992R. Fnukal2.10912711113LSep 11 · 12:35R. Fitl1.73551191J. Lovl2.0011117113LSep 11 · 11:05R. Neterda2.009111111113R. Fitl1.7311137662WSep 11 · 10:35R. Fnukal1.836113111R. Fitl1.8311611133WSep 10 · 13:10M. Holub2.00811111162R. Fitl1.73111398113
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