TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13125062
Played Sep 13Finished
Jan Vidourek
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911115811114711
David Hons
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:13 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeJan Vidourek to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Vidourek above · David Hons below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 88 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Jan Vidourek at 58.9%
88 points played in total.
H2H Jan Vidourek 15–7 David Hons David Hons has won 7 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:13What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vidourek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-7 in 22
Vidourek
Wrong
gap of 8 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vidourek 1448 vs Hons 1603
Hons
Correct
both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vidourek 40% vs Hons 80%
Hons
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vidourek 30% vs Hons 80%
Hons
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vidourek -1 · Hons +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vidourek) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hons form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVidourek 1.67 / Hons 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vidourek)-1.6pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13125062
Vidourek1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite62% won 53 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it88% 29 of 33
Hons2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog41% won 60 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back10% 7 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVidourek6wins
AwayHons4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVidourek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVidourek100%4 of 4
AwayHons66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vidourek4Hons6n = 10Hons took 6 of 10
S2Vidourek6Hons4n = 10Vidourek took 6 of 10
S3Vidourek5Hons5n = 10split evenly
S4Vidourek3Hons1n = 4Vidourek took 3 of 4
S5Vidourek2Hons1n = 3Vidourek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVidourekHonsV − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.331.7+3.6per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVidourekHonsBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 331 vs 244 / 48951.4%49.9%170 / 331 vs 244 / 489Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VidourekVidourek 1.67/Hons 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.2%
Vidourek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hons won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 20:35J. Vidourek4691181172D. Hons42115114113
LSep 9 · 21:05J. Vidourek259970D. Hons331111113
WSep 9 · 18:35J. Vidourek541213117113D. Hons48141151172
WSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek4181111113D. Hons29115851
WAug 7 · 18:35J. Vidourek331111113D. Hons205780
LJul 31 · 21:10J. Vidourek172690D. Hons331111113
WJul 31 · 18:05J. Vidourek331111113D. Hons219660
WJul 24 · 18:05J. Vidourek50118911113D. Hons3981111272
WJul 19 · 18:05J. Vidourek331111113D. Hons199640
LJul 10 · 21:15J. Vidourek215790D. Hons331111113
J. Vidourek10
WSep 13 · 21:15L. Vosyka1.671160J. Vidourek2.101372LSep 13 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.61111111113J. Vidourek2.20137441WSep 13 · 18:35R. Pokorny1.4411941272J. Vidourek2.638111110113WSep 13 · 17:06K. Lahodny1.5081111882J. Vidourek2.5011361193LSep 13 · 16:35K. Lahodny1.611115113J. Vidourek2.2081370LSep 13 · 15:35J. Vidourek2.63711881R. Pokorny1.4411711113LSep 13 · 14:05J. Lovl1.5011118123J. Vidourek2.405611101LSep 9 · 21:05J. Vidourek1.539970D. Hons2.381111113LSep 9 · 20:05M. Flesar2.0011911113J. Vidourek1.73811881LSep 9 · 19:35J. Martin2.001111113J. Vidourek1.739680
D. Hons10
WSep 13 · 21:45D. Hons1.8311911113R. Pokorny1.83311891WSep 13 · 19:35D. Hons1.6712116133R. Pokorny2.1010911111WSep 13 · 18:05L. Vosyka1.8097100D. Hons1.911111123LSep 12 · 21:34D. Hons1.836750K. Lahodny1.831111113WSep 12 · 20:35D. Hons1.611111113M. Chmelicek2.209690WSep 12 · 19:05R. Pokorny1.73811111072D. Hons2.00117512113WSep 12 · 18:35K. Lahodny2.1010119111D. Hons1.6712911133WSep 11 · 21:35J. Martin1.7259121182D. Hons1.931111105113LSep 11 · 20:35J. Martin1.8361111113D. Hons1.83118361WSep 9 · 21:05J. Vidourek1.539970D. Hons2.381111113
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