TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13126538
Played Sep 13Finished
Ladislav Vosyka
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 2
Set by set
111367––––––
Jan Vidourek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:11 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeLadislav Vosyka to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLadislav Vosyka above · Jan Vidourek below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 7-7
Point 38 set 2, 7-7 — our read held Ladislav Vosyka at 54.1%
38 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Vosyka 17–14 Jan Vidourek Jan Vidourek has won 14 of their 31 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Vosyka beat Vidourek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:11What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vosyka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-14 in 31
Vosyka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1469 vs Vidourek 1448
Vosyka
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 40% vs Vidourek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 50% vs Vidourek 20%
Vosyka
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka -1 · Vidourek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vosyka form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.67 / Vidourek 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Vosyka)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13126538
Vosyka1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 80 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it96% 47 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it76% 56 of 74
Vidourek2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog49% won 47 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back28% 14 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back13% 4 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVosyka4wins
AwayVidourek6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVidourek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVosyka75%3 of 4
AwayVidourek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vosyka4Vidourek6n = 10Vidourek took 6 of 10
S2Vosyka5Vidourek5n = 10split evenly
S3Vosyka3Vidourek7n = 10Vidourek took 7 of 10
S4Vosyka2Vidourek5n = 7Vidourek took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVosykaVidourekVosyka − VidourekBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.238.9−0.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaVidourekBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 437 vs 170 / 33151%51.4%223 / 437 vs 170 / 331Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.67/Vidourek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–2
Vidourek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 19:05L. Vosyka44111111113J. Vidourek28137441
LSep 8 · 20:35L. Vosyka33411991J. Vidourek3711411113
LSep 1 · 21:48L. Vosyka381011981J. Vidourek4312911113
WSep 1 · 20:05L. Vosyka57169912113J. Vidourek541411111082
LAug 30 · 20:35L. Vosyka2338120J. Vidourek361111143
WAug 13 · 21:35L. Vosyka521261112113J. Vidourek47101191432
LAug 13 · 20:05L. Vosyka35711891J. Vidourek3911611113
LAug 12 · 20:05L. Vosyka29101180J. Vidourek361213113
WAug 9 · 21:10L. Vosyka341112113J. Vidourek2481060
LAug 9 · 20:35L. Vosyka37148781J. Vidourek45121111113
L. Vosyka10
LSep 13 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.671110491R. Pokorny2.1051211113WSep 13 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.61111111113J. Vidourek2.20137441LSep 13 · 18:05L. Vosyka1.8097100D. Hons1.911111123WSep 11 · 17:39O. Pros2.501171061L. Vosyka1.5081112113LSep 11 · 16:35L. Vosyka1.33711891O. Pros3.2511811113WSep 11 · 15:05J. Jr2.1011581462L. Vosyka1.678111112113WSep 11 · 14:35J. Martin2.10101111862L. Vosyka1.67126611113LSep 10 · 21:40L. Vosyka1.737970S. Kafka2.001111113LSep 10 · 20:35T. Krcil2.20117114113L. Vosyka1.6181161182WSep 10 · 19:35L. Vosyka1.67111197143M. Flesar2.10921111122
J. Vidourek10
LSep 13 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6791181172D. Hons2.10115114113LSep 13 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.61111111113J. Vidourek2.20137441WSep 13 · 18:35R. Pokorny1.4411941272J. Vidourek2.638111110113WSep 13 · 17:06K. Lahodny1.5081111882J. Vidourek2.5011361193LSep 13 · 16:35K. Lahodny1.611115113J. Vidourek2.2081370LSep 13 · 15:35J. Vidourek2.63711881R. Pokorny1.4411711113LSep 13 · 14:05J. Lovl1.5011118123J. Vidourek2.405611101LSep 9 · 21:05J. Vidourek1.539970D. Hons2.381111113LSep 9 · 20:05M. Flesar2.0011911113J. Vidourek1.73811881LSep 9 · 19:35J. Martin2.001111113J. Vidourek1.739680
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