TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13127035
Played Sep 14Finished
Radek Vosyka
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117112117––––
Radim Pokorny
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:44 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeRadim Pokorny to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Vosyka above · Radim Pokorny below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 49 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Radim Pokorny at 56.7%
49 points played in total.
H2H Radek Vosyka 9–6 Radim Pokorny Radim Pokorny has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:44What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vosyka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Vosyka
Correct
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1550 vs Pokorny 1494
Vosyka
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 20% vs Pokorny 40%
Pokorny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 30% vs Pokorny 50%
Pokorny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka -1 · Pokorny -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vosyka form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.61 / Pokorny 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Vosyka)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13127035
Vosyka1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 82 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it94% 51 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it72% 66 of 92
Pokorny2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 41 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back26% 13 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVosyka5wins
AwayPokorny5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVosyka71.4%5 of 7
AwayPokorny100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vosyka7Pokorny3n = 10Vosyka took 7 of 10
S2Vosyka5Pokorny5n = 10split evenly
S3Vosyka5Pokorny5n = 10split evenly
S4Vosyka5Pokorny3n = 8Vosyka took 5 of 8
S5Vosyka1Pokorny3n = 4Pokorny took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVosykaPokornyV − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.537.0+1.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaPokornyBasisWin rate · lifetime191 / 374 vs 154 / 31251.1%49.4%191 / 374 vs 154 / 312Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.61/Pokorny 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 19:05R. Vosyka341112113R. Pokorny2351080
LAug 29 · 20:05R. Vosyka32481281R. Pokorny43111110113
LJul 23 · 13:34R. Vosyka32511791R. Pokorny3911611113
WJul 23 · 10:35R. Vosyka331111113R. Pokorny219570
WJul 20 · 11:35R. Vosyka4311813113R. Pokorny325111151
LJul 16 · 11:05R. Vosyka3511471122R. Pokorny47911115113
WJul 13 · 11:05R. Vosyka541171411113R. Pokorny44211121362
LJul 11 · 07:35R. Vosyka4291171142R. Pokorny47116118113
WJul 9 · 13:35R. Vosyka4111118113R. Pokorny28721181
LJul 9 · 11:35R. Vosyka3911961122R. Pokorny46411119113
R. Vosyka10
LSep 14 · 11:05J. Joksch1.501111113R. Vosyka2.505860WSep 14 · 10:35R. Fitl1.8061651172R. Vosyka1.911114119113LSep 11 · 21:03S. Kafka1.831111113R. Vosyka1.839890LSep 11 · 20:05S. Kafka2.3891111113R. Vosyka1.53115471LSep 11 · 19:35D. Hons2.7511114113R. Vosyka1.40781191LSep 11 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.4013115862J. Martin2.751161111113LSep 10 · 13:38R. Vosyka1.578480J. Ruzicka2.251111113LSep 10 · 12:35R. Vosyka1.83611471R. Fitl1.8311711113WSep 10 · 11:05M. Holub1.801011112132R. Vosyka1.91126911153WSep 10 · 10:35J. Ruzicka2.105480R. Vosyka1.661111113
R. Pokorny10
LSep 14 · 11:35R. Pokorny2.10661161R. Fitl1.6711118113WSep 14 · 10:05J. Joksch1.22111211982R. Pokorny4.001310911113LSep 13 · 21:45D. Hons1.8311911113R. Pokorny1.83311891WSep 13 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.671110491R. Pokorny2.1051211113LSep 13 · 19:35D. Hons1.6712116133R. Pokorny2.1010911111LSep 13 · 18:35R. Pokorny1.4411941272J. Vidourek2.638111110113WSep 13 · 17:34J. Lovl2.63811781R. Pokorny1.4411211113LSep 13 · 16:05J. Lovl2.7511101210113R. Pokorny1.40812101272WSep 13 · 15:35J. Vidourek2.63711881R. Pokorny1.4411711113WSep 13 · 14:35R. Pokorny2.75111311113K. Lahodny1.40515781
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