Radek Vosyka vs Martin Chmelicek 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13136819

Played Sep 16Finished

Radek Vosyka

Home

1.44

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1179115111151614

Martin Chmelicek

Away

2.63

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:28 and never touched — 62.7% is still 62.7%

Graded at full time

Martin Chmelicek to win

62.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingRadek Vosyka above · Martin Chmelicek below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 5-11

Set 4 · 11-5

Set 5 · 16-14

Point 100 set 5, 16-14 — our read held Martin Chmelicek at 62.7%

100 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 20:28

What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.44 (65%)

Vosyka

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Vosyka 1549 vs Chmelicek 1402

Vosyka

Correct

both rated, 147 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Vosyka 40% vs Chmelicek 80%

Chmelicek

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Vosyka 20% vs Chmelicek 60%

Chmelicek

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Vosyka -1 · Chmelicek -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 37% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Chmelicek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVosyka 1.44 / Chmelicek 2.63

Signal prob.67% / 33%

Edge (Vosyka)+2.8pp

TT Cup · #13136819

Vosyka1.44

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite55% won 82 of 149

Up 2–0, closes it95% 52 of 55

Up 1–0, closes it72% 67 of 93

Chmelicek2.63

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog38% won 59 of 154

Down 0–1, comes back13% 11 of 84

Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricVosykaChmelicekBasisWin rate · lifetime192 / 376 vs 234 / 49651.1%47.2%192 / 376 vs 234 / 496Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Vosyka

Vosyka 1.44/Chmelicek 2.63

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

67.3%

Vosyka · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Vosyka won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

R. Vosyka10