TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13133963
Played Sep 15Finished
Richard Vavricka
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711911––––
David Hons
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:16 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Hons to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRichard Vavricka above · David Hons below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 56 set 3, 9-11 — our read held David Hons at 60.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Richard Vavricka 3–6 David Hons Richard Vavricka has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:16What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hons
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Hons
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vavricka 1495 vs Hons 1627
Hons
Correct
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavricka 60% vs Hons 80%
Hons
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavricka 60% vs Hons 80%
Hons
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavricka -1 · Hons +4
Hons
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hons) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hons form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavricka 2.10 / Hons 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Hons)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13133963
Vavricka2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 21 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back31% 11 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Hons1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite66% won 50 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it75% 36 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeVavricka3wins
AwayHons6wins
3 of 9 to a deciderHons leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavricka33.3%1 of 3
AwayHons66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavricka3Hons6n = 9Hons took 6 of 9
S2Vavricka5Hons4n = 9Vavricka took 5 of 9
S3Vavricka3Hons6n = 9Hons took 6 of 9
S4Vavricka2Hons6n = 8Hons took 6 of 8
S5Vavricka2Hons1n = 3Vavricka took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away444%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricVavrickaHonsV − HBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match38.041.8−3.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavrickaHonsBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 216 vs 245 / 49051.9%50%112 / 216 vs 245 / 490Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HonsVavricka 2.10/Hons 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Hons · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hons won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJul 31 · 20:05R. Vavricka38815781D. Hons46111311113
WJul 25 · 21:40R. Vavricka50711129113D. Hons48119101172
WJul 25 · 20:05R. Vavricka45411811113D. Hons4311911842
LJul 24 · 21:35R. Vavricka351251171D. Hons4514119113
LJul 24 · 20:05R. Vavricka34116981D. Hons4071111113
WJul 10 · 18:05R. Vavricka4011117113D. Hons32491181
LJan 30 · 19:35R. Vavricka218670D. Hons331111113
LDec 13 · 18:10R. Vavricka4811811992D. Hons47811611113
LDec 12 · 20:35R. Vavricka311011821D. Hons4212811113
R. Vavricka10
LSep 13 · 09:40J. Jr2.101112113R. Vavricka1.6721060WSep 13 · 08:05R. Neterda1.8047111172R. Vavricka1.91111139113WSep 13 · 07:35M. Chmelicek2.109860R. Vavricka1.671111113LSep 13 · 06:35R. Vavricka1.57101171162J. Jr2.25129116113WSep 12 · 09:10R. Vavricka1.671215113J. Jr2.10101350WSep 12 · 08:35J. Jr1.91881191R. Vavricka1.8011115113LSep 12 · 07:35R. Vavricka2.38117118162R. Fitl1.53711611183LSep 12 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.53111147113R. Vavricka2.3875111152WSep 9 · 13:45R. Vavricka2.14714128113R. Neterda1.581112101152WSep 9 · 12:35R. Vavricka1.61711911113M. Chmelicek2.2011711592
D. Hons10
WSep 13 · 21:45D. Hons1.8311911113R. Pokorny1.83311891WSep 13 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6791181172D. Hons2.10115114113WSep 13 · 19:35D. Hons1.6712116133R. Pokorny2.1010911111WSep 13 · 18:05L. Vosyka1.8097100D. Hons1.911111123LSep 12 · 21:34D. Hons1.836750K. Lahodny1.831111113WSep 12 · 20:35D. Hons1.611111113M. Chmelicek2.209690WSep 12 · 19:05R. Pokorny1.73811111072D. Hons2.00117512113WSep 12 · 18:35K. Lahodny2.1010119111D. Hons1.6712911133WSep 11 · 21:35J. Martin1.7259121182D. Hons1.931111105113LSep 11 · 20:35J. Martin1.8361111113D. Hons1.83118361
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