TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13119380
Played Sep 12Finished
Richard Vavricka
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101513115––––
Jan Manhal Jr
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingRichard Vavricka above · Jan Manhal Jr below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 66 set 3, 11-5
66 points played in total.
H2H Richard Vavricka 2–1 Jan Manhal Jr Jan Manhal Jr has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Vavricka beat Jr 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vavricka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavricka 1.67 / Jr 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Vavricka)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13119380
Vavricka1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 38 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Jr2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 6 of 18
Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeVavricka2wins
AwayJr1wins
Vavricka leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavricka2Jr1n = 3Vavricka took 2 of 3
S2Vavricka2Jr1n = 3Vavricka took 2 of 3
S3Vavricka0Jr3n = 3Jr took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricVavrickaJrV − JBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match32.735.0−2.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavrickaJrBasisWin rate · lifetime109 / 211 vs 17 / 4151.7%41.5%109 / 211 vs 17 / 41Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavrickaVavricka 1.67/Jr 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Vavricka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vavricka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 12 · 08:35R. Vavricka—11115113J. Jr—881191
WAug 23 · 09:05R. Vavricka—13115113J. Jr—1191151
LAug 23 · 08:35R. Vavricka—5690J. Jr—1111113
R. Vavricka10
WSep 12 · 08:35J. Jr1.91881191R. Vavricka1.8011115113LSep 12 · 07:35R. Vavricka2.38117118162R. Fitl1.53711611183LSep 12 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.53111147113R. Vavricka2.3875111152WSep 9 · 13:45R. Vavricka2.14714128113R. Neterda1.581112101152WSep 9 · 12:35R. Vavricka1.61711911113M. Chmelicek2.2011711592WSep 9 · 11:05R. Neterda1.617970R. Vavricka2.201111113WSep 9 · 10:35J. Lovl1.57114771R. Vavricka2.2581111113WSep 8 · 13:05R. Vavricka1.531111113O. Pros2.386390WSep 8 · 12:35R. Vavricka1.5711311113O. Pros2.25711791LSep 8 · 11:05R. Fitl1.50711911113R. Vavricka2.5011711842
J. Jr10
LSep 12 · 08:35J. Jr1.91881191R. Vavricka1.8011115113LSep 12 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.44111111113J. Jr2.63139891WSep 12 · 06:35R. Fitl1.7377111162J. Jr2.00111183113LSep 11 · 17:10J. Martin1.531111133J. Jr2.3889110LSep 11 · 16:05J. Jr2.2011511972J. Martin1.61711911113LSep 11 · 15:05J. Jr2.1011581462L. Vosyka1.678111112113WSep 11 · 14:05J. Jr1.3691111113O. Pros3.00116551WSep 4 · 17:03R. Fitl1.731191071J. Jr2.0091112113WSep 4 · 16:35J. Jr1.731111133M. Flesar2.0089110LSep 4 · 15:05R. Neterda2.381112113J. Jr1.5391050
Upcoming Matches
R. Vavricka
Nothing scheduled
J. Jr
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