TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13137019
Played Sep 15Finished
Jan Vidourek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911711––––
Milan Flesar
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJan Vidourek above · Milan Flesar below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 55 set 3, 7-11
55 points played in total.
H2H Jan Vidourek 9–16 Milan Flesar Jan Vidourek has won 9 of their 25 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Vidourek beat Flesar 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Flesar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Flesar form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVidourek 2.10 / Flesar 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Flesar)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13137019
Vidourek2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 48 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back28% 15 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33
Flesar1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 74 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it96% 49 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it76% 64 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVidourek3wins
AwayFlesar7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFlesar leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVidourekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayFlesar87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vidourek2Flesar8n = 10Flesar took 8 of 10
S2Vidourek3Flesar7n = 10Flesar took 7 of 10
S3Vidourek7Flesar3n = 10Vidourek took 7 of 10
S4Vidourek2Flesar7n = 9Flesar took 7 of 9
S5Vidourek3Flesar2n = 5Vidourek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVidourekFlesarV − FBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match39.943.2−3.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVidourekFlesarBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 335 vs 212 / 40451%52.5%171 / 335 vs 212 / 404Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FlesarVidourek 2.10/Flesar 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Flesar · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Flesar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 18:35J. Vidourek51127813113M. Flesar521011111192
LSep 9 · 20:05J. Vidourek35811881M. Flesar4211911113
LSep 8 · 18:35J. Vidourek237880M. Flesar331111113
LJul 15 · 21:35J. Vidourek33891151M. Flesar3811115113
LJul 15 · 20:05J. Vidourek36691381M. Flesar44111111113
LJul 12 · 21:15J. Vidourek3831211392M. Flesar481110511113
WJul 12 · 18:35J. Vidourek50811128113M. Flesar46119101152
WJul 6 · 20:05J. Vidourek521161311113M. Flesar45711111332
LJun 24 · 18:35J. Vidourek386121191M. Flesar4011144113
LJun 3 · 21:35J. Vidourek43410111172M. Flesar44111264113
J. Vidourek10
LSep 15 · 20:05R. Vavricka1.801511113J. Vidourek1.9113690LSep 15 · 19:35D. Hons1.8311311113J. Vidourek1.83711751WSep 15 · 18:35J. Vidourek1.83127813113M. Flesar1.831011111192LSep 13 · 21:15L. Vosyka1.671111911123J. Vidourek2.10137115102LSep 13 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6791181172D. Hons2.10115114113LSep 13 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.61111111113J. Vidourek2.20137441WSep 13 · 18:35R. Pokorny1.4411941272J. Vidourek2.638111110113WSep 13 · 17:06K. Lahodny1.5081111882J. Vidourek2.5011361193LSep 13 · 16:35K. Lahodny1.611115113J. Vidourek2.2081370LSep 13 · 15:35J. Vidourek2.63711881R. Pokorny1.4411711113
M. Flesar10
LSep 15 · 20:35M. Flesar2.009111091D. Hons1.7311512113LSep 15 · 19:05R. Vavricka1.5711119113M. Flesar2.25691171LSep 15 · 18:35J. Vidourek1.83127813113M. Flesar1.831011111192WSep 10 · 21:10M. Flesar1.63118711113T. Krcil2.1531111482LSep 10 · 20:05S. Kafka1.531111153M. Flesar2.3895130LSep 10 · 19:35L. Vosyka1.67111197143M. Flesar2.10921111122WSep 10 · 18:35M. Flesar1.801118113T. Krcil1.9121670LSep 9 · 21:35J. Martin1.4011119113M. Flesar2.75551181WSep 9 · 20:05M. Flesar2.0011911113J. Vidourek1.73811881WSep 9 · 19:05M. Flesar2.1091211113D. Hons1.671110641
Upcoming Matches
J. Vidourek
Nothing scheduled
M. Flesar
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