TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13136317
Played Sep 16Finished
Sebastian Szostok
Home
1.12
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111412811611––
Kamil Kowalski
Away
5.10
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:41 and never touched — 68.4% is still 68.4%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
68.4%
68.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
9111412811611––
H2H Sebastian Szostok 3–1 Kamil Kowalski Kamil Kowalski has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:41What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.12 (82%)
Szostok
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Szostok
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szostok 1535 vs Kowalski 984
Szostok
Wrong
both rated, 551 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szostok 80% vs Kowalski 0%
Szostok
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szostok 60% vs Kowalski 0%
Szostok
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szostok +4 · Kowalski -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Szostok) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowalski form (0%) is below what odds imply (20%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzostok 1.12 / Kowalski 5.10
Signal prob.82% / 18%
Edge (Szostok)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13136317
Szostok1.12
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite65% won 320 of 495
Up 2–0, closes it94% 122 of 130
Up 1–0, closes it79% 203 of 256
Kowalski5.10
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog15% won 17 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back4% 3 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSzostok3wins
AwayKowalski1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderSzostok leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzostok66.7%2 of 3
AwayKowalskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szostok3Kowalski1n = 4Szostok took 3 of 4
S2Szostok1Kowalski3n = 4Kowalski took 3 of 4
S3Szostok3Kowalski1n = 4Szostok took 3 of 4
S4Szostok3Kowalski1n = 4Szostok took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSzostokKowalskiS − KBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match42.839.5+3.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzostokKowalskiBasisWin rate · lifetime921 / 1573 vs 17 / 12458.6%13.7%921 / 1573 vs 17 / 124Avg sets wonper match2.31.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.332.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokSzostok 1.12/Kowalski 5.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
82%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kowalski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 6 · 14:20S. Szostok4011711113K. Kowalski33811771
LAug 6 · 08:10S. Szostok3911461172K. Kowalski47811116113
WAug 1 · 24:10S. Szostok511011118113K. Kowalski4912991182
WJul 31 · 20:30S. Szostok4111811113K. Kowalski29811461
S. Szostok10
WSep 16 · 01:10S. Szostok1.8611125113M. Tkocz1.837101171WSep 16 · 24:00S. Szostok1.881012117113P. Polok1.82121091162WSep 15 · 22:25S. Szostok1.90315611113J. Orszulik1.80111311862WSep 15 · 21:10S. Szostok1.711111113M. Lebek2.009990LSep 15 · 05:05K. Adamus2.0011611113S. Szostok1.71711791LSep 15 · 03:55S. Szostok2.17771211122G. Marud1.621111105143LSep 15 · 02:10O. Jadach1.801210311113S. Szostok1.80101211452WSep 15 · 01:10I. Szymanski4.0112791152S. Szostok1.211011118113LSep 14 · 23:50K. Schaniel2.0911118113S. Szostok1.67681191WSep 14 · 23:05O. Jadach1.81111211562S. Szostok1.83914611113
K. Kowalski10
LSep 16 · 01:35K. Kowalski5.459111151M. Lebek1.0911138113LSep 16 · 24:25M. Tkocz1.1071111123K. Kowalski5.401145101LSep 15 · 23:10P. Polok1.071112113K. Kowalski6.2041070LSep 15 · 21:35J. Orszulik1.161111113K. Kowalski4.208870LSep 3 · 14:20O. Vincenec1.28711119113K. Kowalski3.5011841172LSep 3 · 13:30M. Sikon1.3011811113K. Kowalski3.40811891LSep 3 · 11:25I. Szymanski1.441114113K. Kowalski2.6331280LSep 3 · 10:35R. Gajda1.53111149113K. Kowalski2.3847111192LSep 3 · 09:00P. Kurek1.101111911113K. Kowalski6.5091311762LSep 3 · 07:45K. Kowalski6.50116761P. Kurek1.1081111113
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