TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13133449
Played Sep 15Finished
Sebastian Szostok
Home
1.71
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119119––––
Marian Lebek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarian Lebek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
119119119––––
H2H Sebastian Szostok 25–14 Marian Lebek Marian Lebek has won 14 of their 39 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:55What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Szostok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-14 in 39
Szostok
Correct
gap of 11 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szostok 1496 vs Lebek 1395
Szostok
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szostok 20% vs Lebek 60%
Lebek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szostok 50% vs Lebek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szostok -3 · Lebek +2
Szostok
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Szostok) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szostok form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzostok 1.71 / Lebek 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Szostok)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13133449
Szostok1.71
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As favourite65% won 320 of 495
Up 2–0, closes it94% 122 of 130
Up 1–0, closes it79% 203 of 256
Lebek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog50% won 92 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back28% 24 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzostok5wins
AwayLebek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzostok100%3 of 3
AwayLebek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szostok3Lebek7n = 10Lebek took 7 of 10
S2Szostok5Lebek5n = 10split evenly
S3Szostok4Lebek6n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10
S4Szostok5Lebek3n = 8Szostok took 5 of 8
S5Szostok2Lebek1n = 3Szostok took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzostokLebekS − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.239.5−2.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzostokLebekBasisWin rate · lifetime923 / 1576 vs 843 / 145358.6%58%923 / 1576 vs 843 / 1453Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokSzostok 1.71/Lebek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.1%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Szostok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 14:40S. Szostok43117311113M. Lebek4251111782
LAug 23 · 06:05S. Szostok397129111M. Lebek45111011133
WAug 2 · 14:40S. Szostok4181111113M. Lebek35119961
LAug 2 · 06:05S. Szostok4558141172M. Lebek521111127113
LJun 28 · 10:10S. Szostok28511661M. Lebek4011711113
WJun 28 · 07:45S. Szostok3912511113M. Lebek361011871
LApr 1 · 06:00S. Szostok2568110M. Lebek351111133
WMar 24 · 22:35S. Szostok50811128113M. Lebek44115101172
LFeb 26 · 02:10S. Szostok2351080M. Lebek341112113
WFeb 19 · 04:10S. Szostok3911116113M. Lebek32481191
S. Szostok10
WSep 15 · 22:25S. Szostok1.90315611113J. Orszulik1.80111311862LSep 15 · 05:05K. Adamus2.0011611113S. Szostok1.71711791LSep 15 · 03:55S. Szostok2.17771211122G. Marud1.621111105143LSep 15 · 02:10O. Jadach1.801210311113S. Szostok1.80101211452WSep 15 · 01:10I. Szymanski4.0112791152S. Szostok1.211011118113LSep 14 · 23:50K. Schaniel2.0911118113S. Szostok1.67681191WSep 14 · 23:05O. Jadach1.81111211562S. Szostok1.83914611113WSep 14 · 21:55S. Szostok1.58511811113G. Marud2.1411811642WSep 14 · 20:45K. Adamus2.0011581182S. Szostok1.71911118113LSep 14 · 19:30I. Szymanski4.551111710113S. Szostok1.1469111282
M. Lebek10
WSep 11 · 08:00R. Idaczyk2.353690M. Lebek1.501111113WSep 11 · 07:10Y. Fomin2.20471161M. Lebek1.5711115113LSep 11 · 06:25M. Lebek1.37111181082J. Nowak2.70691112113LSep 11 · 04:50M. Lebek1.16911771R. Komandzik4.3511311113WSep 11 · 04:00M. Adamus2.35781181M. Lebek1.5011118113WSep 11 · 02:45M. Lebek1.421111133J. Nowak2.6086110LSep 11 · 01:10M. Lebek1.7410670P. Brozek1.911211113LSep 11 · 24:00M. Lebek1.90116371K. Durak1.8071111113LSep 10 · 22:25M. Lebek1.9013101131M. Tkocz1.76111213113WSep 10 · 21:10M. Lebek—1111113R. Komandzik—5380
Upcoming Matches
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