TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13128737
Played Sep 14Finished
Kacper Adamus
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119511811118811
Sebastian Szostok
Away
1.71
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:20 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
119511811118811
H2H Kacper Adamus 18–24 Sebastian Szostok Kacper Adamus has won 18 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:20What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Szostok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-24 in 42
Szostok
Correct
gap of 6 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1492 vs Szostok 1521
Szostok
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 80% vs Szostok 60%
Adamus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 80% vs Szostok 60%
Adamus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +4 · Szostok -1
Adamus
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Szostok)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 2.00 / Szostok 1.71
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Szostok)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13128737
Adamus2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog47% won 99 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back21% 22 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 57
Szostok1.71
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 316 of 489
Up 2–0, closes it94% 122 of 130
Up 1–0, closes it79% 203 of 256
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus4wins
AwaySzostok6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSzostok leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus66.7%4 of 6
AwaySzostok100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus6Szostok4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S2Adamus4Szostok6n = 10Szostok took 6 of 10
S3Adamus4Szostok6n = 10Szostok took 6 of 10
S4Adamus3Szostok4n = 7Szostok took 4 of 7
S5Adamus1Szostok2n = 3Szostok took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusSzostokA − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.939.3−1.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusSzostokBasisWin rate · lifetime943 / 1741 vs 921 / 157154.2%58.6%943 / 1741 vs 921 / 1571Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.340.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokAdamus 2.00/Szostok 1.71
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Szostok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 19:10K. Adamus38138891S. Szostok44111111113
WMay 30 · 13:55K. Adamus49117128113S. Szostok44511101172
LMay 30 · 07:55K. Adamus47117711112S. Szostok48711116133
WMay 20 · 13:30K. Adamus4011126113S. Szostok356101181
LMay 20 · 07:30K. Adamus4461112782S. Szostok501171011113
WMar 31 · 13:10K. Adamus331111113S. Szostok228680
WMar 31 · 05:30K. Adamus4211128113S. Szostok379101171
LJan 21 · 15:20K. Adamus2371150S. Szostok351113113
LJan 21 · 07:20K. Adamus228680S. Szostok331111113
LDec 16 · 18:05K. Adamus419912111S. Szostok45111110133
K. Adamus10
WSep 14 · 21:30O. Jadach1.85791111142K. Adamus1.85111197163WSep 14 · 19:10K. Adamus1.8211118113G. Marud1.88771161WSep 14 · 18:20I. Szymanski4.256420K. Adamus1.161111113WSep 12 · 08:20R. Skotniczny1.839990K. Adamus1.811111113WSep 12 · 07:35O. Sokolowski2.4612711652K. Adamus1.441011711113LSep 12 · 05:35O. Sokolowski3.10961211113K. Adamus1.30111110972LSep 12 · 04:50P. Mecik2.25911118113K. Adamus1.5511881152WSep 12 · 03:10W. Pytlas2.05711139182K. Adamus1.681131111203WSep 10 · 16:20W. Glanowski2.6041080K. Adamus1.411112113WSep 10 · 15:30K. Hetnar1.85611911152K. Adamus1.80119114173
S. Szostok10
LSep 14 · 19:30I. Szymanski4.551111710113S. Szostok1.1469111282WSep 14 · 17:55K. Schaniel2.35118101172S. Szostok1.48411125113WSep 13 · 14:40S. Szostok2.001111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.736860LSep 13 · 13:05S. Szostok1.44117118192Z. Sobkow2.63611311213WSep 13 · 11:50S. Szostok1.80816117113M. Lach1.91111471182WSep 13 · 10:10S. Szostok2.50111111113A. Cichocki1.50136941WSep 13 · 09:00S. Szostok1.831161011113J. Wieczerzak1.8381112772LSep 13 · 07:45A. Cichocki1.501111113S. Szostok2.507880LSep 13 · 06:55Z. Sobkow2.3891111113S. Szostok1.53116751WSep 13 · 06:05S. Szostok1.83111110113W. Wojtaszczyk1.83871271
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