TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13128733
Played Sep 14Finished
Oskar Jadach
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7119111191171416
Kacper Adamus
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:21 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
106 points played in total.
Set by set
7119111191171416
H2H Oskar Jadach 25–20 Kacper Adamus Kacper Adamus has won 20 of their 45 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:21What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-20 in 45
Jadach
Wrong
gap of 5 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1522 vs Adamus 1482
Jadach
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 80% vs Adamus 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 90% vs Adamus 70%
Jadach
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach +2 · Adamus -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jadach) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 1.85 / Adamus 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jadach)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13128733
Jadach1.85
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Adamus1.85
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadach5wins
AwayAdamus5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadachn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayAdamus62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadach2Adamus8n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S2Jadach5Adamus5n = 10split evenly
S3Jadach7Adamus3n = 10Jadach took 7 of 10
S4Jadach4Adamus3n = 7Jadach took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadachAdamusJ − ABasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.037.5−2.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime802 / 1318 vs 943 / 174260.9%54.1%802 / 1318 vs 943 / 1742Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachJadach 1.85/Adamus 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 11:05O. Jadach248790K. Adamus331111113
WSep 8 · 05:05O. Jadach511115410113K. Adamus52713111292
WSep 7 · 20:45O. Jadach4071111113K. Adamus34118961
LJun 17 · 15:30O. Jadach166730K. Adamus331111113
LJun 17 · 09:30O. Jadach50961211122K. Adamus541111108143
WMay 30 · 15:55O. Jadach3851111113K. Adamus37119981
WMay 30 · 09:55O. Jadach331111113K. Adamus259790
LMay 27 · 11:30O. Jadach323613101K. Adamus45111111123
WMay 27 · 07:10O. Jadach3741111113K. Adamus26115731
LMay 13 · 17:05O. Jadach29591141K. Adamus3611113113
O. Jadach10
WSep 14 · 20:20O. Jadach1.151111113I. Szymanski4.407620WSep 14 · 18:45O. Jadach1.501111133K. Schaniel2.3095110LSep 14 · 17:30O. Jadach1.5721190G. Marud2.151113113WSep 14 · 04:20M. Adamus2.30711771O. Jadach1.5511711113WSep 14 · 03:30A. Ruszkiewicz1.6811971222O. Jadach2.078111110113WSep 14 · 02:45O. Jadach1.331111113J. Nowak2.857940WSep 14 · 01:10O. Jadach1.481314113O. Vincenec2.49111260WSep 14 · 24:20G. Marud2.179137111O. Jadach1.56111111133WSep 13 · 23:05O. Jadach1.33115911113J. Nowak2.8581111852WSep 13 · 21:30O. Jadach1.331211113A. Ruszkiewicz2.8510260
K. Adamus10
LSep 14 · 20:45K. Adamus2.0011581182S. Szostok1.71911118113WSep 14 · 19:10K. Adamus1.8211118113G. Marud1.88771161WSep 14 · 18:20I. Szymanski4.256420K. Adamus1.161111113WSep 12 · 08:20R. Skotniczny1.839990K. Adamus1.811111113WSep 12 · 07:35O. Sokolowski2.4612711652K. Adamus1.441011711113LSep 12 · 05:35O. Sokolowski3.10961211113K. Adamus1.30111110972LSep 12 · 04:50P. Mecik2.25911118113K. Adamus1.5511881152WSep 12 · 03:10W. Pytlas2.05711139182K. Adamus1.681131111203WSep 10 · 16:20W. Glanowski2.6041080K. Adamus1.411112113WSep 10 · 15:30K. Hetnar1.85611911152K. Adamus1.80119114173
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