TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13128243
Played Sep 14Finished
Oskar Jadach
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191151311––––
Krzysztof Schaniel
Away
2.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:11 and never touched — 68.3% is still 68.3%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
68.3%
68.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
1191151311––––
H2H Oskar Jadach 74–26 Krzysztof Schaniel Krzysztof Schaniel has won 26 of their 100 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:11What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (61%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
74-26 in 100
Jadach
Correct
gap of 48 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1508 vs Schaniel 1405
Jadach
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 80% vs Schaniel 40%
Jadach
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 80% vs Schaniel 50%
Jadach
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach -1 · Schaniel -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Jadach) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadach form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 1.50 / Schaniel 2.30
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Jadach)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13128243
Jadach1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 320 of 472
Up 2–0, closes it94% 149 of 158
Up 1–0, closes it86% 223 of 260
Schaniel2.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 177 of 422
Down 0–1, comes back28% 65 of 229
Down 0–2, comes back11% 14 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadach7wins
AwaySchaniel3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJadach leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadach80%4 of 5
AwaySchaniel40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadach5Schaniel5n = 10split evenly
S2Jadach4Schaniel6n = 10Schaniel took 6 of 10
S3Jadach8Schaniel2n = 10Jadach took 8 of 10
S4Jadach3Schaniel4n = 7Schaniel took 4 of 7
S5Jadach3Schaniel0n = 3Jadach took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadachSchanielJ − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.836.9+0.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachSchanielBasisWin rate · lifetime803 / 1319 vs 874 / 175460.9%49.8%803 / 1319 vs 874 / 1754Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachJadach 1.50/Schaniel 2.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 19 · 10:10O. Jadach51991111113K. Schaniel4311117682
LJul 19 · 07:45O. Jadach25116261K. Schaniel4071111113
WJun 17 · 14:20O. Jadach48811117113K. Schaniel4711981182
WJun 17 · 06:20O. Jadach45123127113K. Schaniel501011101182
WMay 13 · 14:20O. Jadach45111211113K. Schaniel37614891
WMay 13 · 06:20O. Jadach341112113K. Schaniel2371060
WMar 30 · 24:20O. Jadach331111113K. Schaniel228680
LMar 29 · 20:20O. Jadach37971291K. Schaniel43111110113
LFeb 5 · 15:20O. Jadach184590K. Schaniel331111113
WFeb 5 · 07:20O. Jadach4281111123K. Schaniel311173101
O. Jadach10
LSep 14 · 17:30O. Jadach1.5721190G. Marud2.151113113WSep 14 · 04:20M. Adamus2.30711771O. Jadach1.5511711113WSep 14 · 03:30A. Ruszkiewicz1.6811971222O. Jadach2.078111110113WSep 14 · 02:45O. Jadach1.331111113J. Nowak2.857940WSep 14 · 01:10O. Jadach1.481314113O. Vincenec2.49111260WSep 14 · 24:20G. Marud2.179137111O. Jadach1.56111111133WSep 13 · 23:05O. Jadach1.33115911113J. Nowak2.8581111852WSep 13 · 21:30O. Jadach1.331211113A. Ruszkiewicz2.8510260WSep 13 · 20:20O. Jadach1.601111113G. Marud2.105970LSep 13 · 18:45O. Jadach1.468780M. Adamus2.401111113
K. Schaniel10
LSep 14 · 17:55K. Schaniel2.35118101172S. Szostok1.48411125113LSep 13 · 05:05O. Sokolowski1.901111123K. Schaniel1.7579100WSep 13 · 03:55K. Schaniel1.471111711113G. Sawicki2.5081311772WSep 13 · 02:45R. Wiza2.459260K. Schaniel1.471111113LSep 13 · 01:30A. Szurgot4.2061114113K. Schaniel1.161161251LSep 12 · 23:55R. Szymik1.6591111113K. Schaniel2.02116981WSep 12 · 23:05R. Wiza2.5011911352K. Schaniel1.46611611113WSep 12 · 21:55K. Schaniel1.571211113G. Sawicki2.2010780LSep 12 · 20:45P. Gasiorski1.25118115113K. Schaniel3.5571171142WSep 12 · 19:30A. Szurgot4.20811441K. Schaniel1.1611611113
Upcoming Matches
O. Jadach
Sep 14 · 20:20O. Jadach1.15I. Szymanski4.40—Sep 14 · 21:30O. Jadach1.71K. Adamus1.94—Sep 14 · 23:05O. Jadach1.81S. Szostok1.83—Sep 15 · 24:10O. Jadach1.13I. Szymanski4.60—Sep 15 · 24:50O. Jadach1.57G. Marud2.16—Sep 15 · 02:10O. Jadach1.81S. Szostok1.83—Sep 15 · 03:30O. Jadach1.67K. Adamus2.00—Sep 15 · 04:20O. Jadach1.47K. Schaniel2.39—
K. Schaniel
Sep 14 · 19:55K. Schaniel2.00G. Marud1.71—Sep 14 · 21:05K. Schaniel1.26I. Szymanski3.25—Sep 14 · 22:20K. Schaniel2.10K. Adamus1.60—Sep 14 · 23:50K. Schaniel2.36S. Szostok1.48—Sep 15 · 24:30K. Schaniel2.10K. Adamus1.60—Sep 15 · 01:30K. Schaniel1.97G. Marud1.68—Sep 15 · 03:05K. Schaniel1.26I. Szymanski3.25—Sep 15 · 04:20K. Schaniel2.39O. Jadach1.47—
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