TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13115687
Played Sep 13Finished
Oliwier Sokolowski
Home
1.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171191210––––
Krzysztof Schaniel
Away
1.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOliwier Sokolowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
1171191210––––
H2H Oliwier Sokolowski 3–3 Krzysztof Schaniel Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:03What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Schaniel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokolowski 1353 vs Schaniel 1431
Schaniel
Wrong
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokolowski 80% vs Schaniel 60%
Sokolowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokolowski 60% vs Schaniel 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokolowski -1 · Schaniel +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Schaniel) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokolowski 1.90 / Schaniel 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Schaniel)+1.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13115687
Sokolowski1.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 111 of 300
Down 0–1, comes back20% 36 of 180
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 107
Schaniel1.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 200 of 338
Up 2–0, closes it90% 97 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it77% 151 of 196
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSokolowski3wins
AwaySchaniel3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokolowski100%3 of 3
AwaySchaniel100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokolowski3Schaniel3n = 6split evenly
S2Sokolowski3Schaniel3n = 6split evenly
S3Sokolowski3Schaniel3n = 6split evenly
S4Sokolowski1Schaniel5n = 6Schaniel took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSokolowskiSchanielSokolowski − SchanielBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match40.340.2+0.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokolowskiSchanielBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 536 vs 875 / 175342.7%49.9%229 / 536 vs 875 / 1753Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.339.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchanielSokolowski 1.90/Schaniel 1.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Schaniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 11 · 18:55O. Sokolowski36791191K. Schaniel4011117113
WSep 4 · 16:15O. Sokolowski47111159113K. Schaniel4367111182
WAug 4 · 21:00O. Sokolowski4111118113K. Schaniel38991191
LAug 4 · 16:35O. Sokolowski351061181K. Schaniel3912115113
LJul 1 · 09:00O. Sokolowski376131171K. Schaniel4411157113
WJul 1 · 04:30O. Sokolowski46111158113K. Schaniel3745111162
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 13 · 03:30O. Sokolowski2.0489100R. Wiza1.711111123WSep 13 · 02:20O. Sokolowski1.2511811123A. Szurgot3.455117101WSep 13 · 24:45O. Sokolowski2.2711911113R. Szymik1.52611751WSep 12 · 23:30O. Sokolowski1.5281117113G. Sawicki2.271141561WSep 12 · 08:45W. Pytlas1.5811514111O. Sokolowski2.1471116133LSep 12 · 07:35O. Sokolowski2.4612711652K. Adamus1.441011711113LSep 12 · 06:25P. Mecik2.0111118113O. Sokolowski1.66981191WSep 12 · 05:10R. Skotniczny1.809570O. Sokolowski1.851111113LSep 12 · 03:35O. Sokolowski2.251712113O. Sokolowski1.57151080WSep 11 · 19:40S. Krupa1.67121031362O. Sokolowski2.1010121111113
K. Schaniel10
WSep 13 · 03:55K. Schaniel1.471111711113G. Sawicki2.5081311772WSep 13 · 02:45R. Wiza2.459260K. Schaniel1.471111113LSep 13 · 01:30A. Szurgot4.2061114113K. Schaniel1.161161251LSep 12 · 23:55R. Szymik1.6591111113K. Schaniel2.02116981WSep 12 · 23:05R. Wiza2.5011911352K. Schaniel1.46611611113WSep 12 · 21:55K. Schaniel1.571211113G. Sawicki2.2010780LSep 12 · 20:45P. Gasiorski1.25118115113K. Schaniel3.5571171142WSep 12 · 19:30A. Szurgot4.20811441K. Schaniel1.1611611113LSep 12 · 17:55R. Szymik1.82111116113K. Schaniel1.8811961192WSep 12 · 01:45S. Krupa1.91781151K. Schaniel1.8011119113
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