TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13115694
Played Sep 12Finished
Pawel Gasiorski
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117811117511114
Krzysztof Schaniel
Away
3.55
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:04 and never touched — 78.1% is still 78.1%
Graded at full timePawel Gasiorski to win
78.1%
78.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
117811117511114
H2H Pawel Gasiorski 12–1 Krzysztof Schaniel Krzysztof Schaniel has won 1 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:04What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (74%)
Gasiorski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-1 in 13
Gasiorski
Correct
gap of 11 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gasiorski 1601 vs Schaniel 1442
Gasiorski
Correct
both rated, 159 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gasiorski 100% vs Schaniel 60%
Gasiorski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gasiorski 80% vs Schaniel 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gasiorski +5 · Schaniel +1
Gasiorski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Gasiorski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schaniel form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (28%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGasiorski 1.25 / Schaniel 3.55
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Gasiorski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13115694
Gasiorski1.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite80% won 107 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it95% 52 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it84% 71 of 85
Schaniel3.55
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 188 of 461
Down 0–1, comes back27% 68 of 252
Down 0–2, comes back10% 14 of 140
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGasiorski10wins
AwaySchaniel0wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGasiorski leads 10–0, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGasiorski100%7 of 7
AwaySchaniel0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gasiorski7Schaniel3n = 10Gasiorski took 7 of 10
S2Gasiorski8Schaniel2n = 10Gasiorski took 8 of 10
S3Gasiorski5Schaniel5n = 10split evenly
S4Gasiorski6Schaniel1n = 7Gasiorski took 6 of 7
S5Gasiorski4Schaniel0n = 4Gasiorski took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGasiorskiSchanielG − SBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.035.8+6.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGasiorskiSchanielBasisWin rate · lifetime204 / 256 vs 871 / 174679.7%49.9%204 / 256 vs 871 / 1746Avg sets wonper match2.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match41.139.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GasiorskiGasiorski 1.25/Schaniel 3.55
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.4%
Gasiorski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Gasiorski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 2 · 19:10P. Gasiorski49711119113K. Schaniel4711791192
WOct 15 · 18:25P. Gasiorski331111113K. Schaniel184590
WJun 13 · 07:10P. Gasiorski551211912113K. Schaniel501013111062
WMay 20 · 12:25P. Gasiorski45119311113K. Schaniel4691111872
WMay 20 · 06:20P. Gasiorski4211128113K. Schaniel399101191
WApr 1 · 12:20P. Gasiorski331111113K. Schaniel194690
WMar 13 · 14:10P. Gasiorski47611711123K. Schaniel44116116102
WMar 13 · 08:10P. Gasiorski4031111153K. Schaniel391169131
WMar 6 · 14:10P. Gasiorski4212118113K. Schaniel331091131
WMar 6 · 08:10P. Gasiorski341112113K. Schaniel2371060
P. Gasiorski10
WSep 12 · 22:20R. Szymik3.251149101P. Gasiorski1.2791111123WSep 12 · 21:30R. Wiza5.35812111172P. Gasiorski1.10111448113WSep 12 · 19:10P. Gasiorski1.091111113G. Sawicki5.455620WSep 12 · 18:20A. Szurgot8.00613941P. Gasiorski1.03111111113WSep 10 · 20:00M. Koczyba2.9589111172P. Gasiorski1.31111166113WSep 10 · 19:10P. Brozek2.8768111142P. Gasiorski1.37111197113WSep 10 · 18:25P. Gasiorski1.36129511113P. Zemla2.75101111772WSep 10 · 16:50P. Gasiorski1.3611117113M. Tkocz2.75371141LSep 10 · 16:00K. Durak2.80111176113P. Gasiorski1.3788111152WSep 4 · 22:20R. Szymik3.508850P. Gasiorski1.261111113
K. Schaniel10
WSep 12 · 21:55K. Schaniel1.571211113G. Sawicki2.2010780WSep 12 · 19:30A. Szurgot4.20811441K. Schaniel1.1611611113LSep 12 · 17:55R. Szymik1.82111116113K. Schaniel1.8811961192WSep 12 · 01:45S. Krupa1.91781151K. Schaniel1.8011119113WSep 12 · 01:00G. Sawicki2.6381260K. Schaniel1.441114113LSep 12 · 24:10K. Schaniel1.67811311102O. Vincenec2.10118116123WSep 11 · 22:35K. Schaniel2.25114911113L. Oracz1.5771111682LSep 11 · 21:45A. Ruszkiewicz2.0011118123K. Schaniel1.733711101WSep 11 · 20:30K. Schaniel1.73117915113O. Vincenec2.00811111372WSep 11 · 18:55K. Schaniel1.8011117113O. Sokolowski1.91791191
Upcoming Matches
P. Gasiorski
Nothing scheduled
K. Schaniel1 of 6 neutral
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