TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13113608
Played Sep 11Finished
Krzysztof Schaniel
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117119711119––
Oliwier Sokolowski
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOliwier Sokolowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrzysztof Schaniel above · Oliwier Sokolowski below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Oliwier Sokolowski at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Schaniel 2–1 Oliwier Sokolowski Oliwier Sokolowski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:33What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Schaniel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schaniel 1390 vs Sokolowski 1375
Schaniel
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schaniel 40% vs Sokolowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schaniel 30% vs Sokolowski 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Schaniel +1 · Sokolowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Schaniel) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchaniel 1.80 / Sokolowski 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Schaniel)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13113608
Schaniel1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 213 of 361
Up 2–0, closes it90% 102 of 114
Up 1–0, closes it77% 160 of 208
Sokolowski1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 110 of 299
Down 0–1, comes back20% 36 of 181
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 109
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSchaniel2wins
AwaySokolowski1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSchaniel leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schaniel2Sokolowski1n = 3Schaniel took 2 of 3
S2Schaniel2Sokolowski1n = 3Schaniel took 2 of 3
S3Schaniel1Sokolowski2n = 3Sokolowski took 2 of 3
S4Schaniel3Sokolowski0n = 3Schaniel took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSchanielSokolowskiSchaniel − SokolowskiBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match40.039.3+0.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchanielSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime871 / 1745 vs 223 / 52549.9%42.5%871 / 1745 vs 223 / 525Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchanielSchaniel 1.80/Sokolowski 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Schaniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Schaniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 4 · 16:35K. Schaniel—12115113O. Sokolowski—1061181
WJul 1 · 09:00K. Schaniel—11157113O. Sokolowski—6131171
LJul 1 · 04:30K. Schaniel—45111162O. Sokolowski—111158113
K. Schaniel10
WSep 11 · 17:45K. Schaniel1.73612116113A. Ruszkiewicz2.00111091172LSep 11 · 16:15K. Schaniel1.80761121S. Krupa1.9111114113WSep 11 · 15:00K. Schaniel2.3811118113L. Oracz1.53641171LSep 9 · 14:40O. Vincenec1.911561011113K. Schaniel1.80131112762LSep 9 · 13:30K. Schaniel2.2591111792P. Gumulinski1.57119911113WSep 9 · 12:15R. Gajda1.80111451192K. Schaniel1.917121113113LSep 9 · 11:00P. Kurek1.4411117113K. Schaniel2.63861181LSep 9 · 09:25P. Przewlocki2.20461211113K. Schaniel1.61111110832LSep 9 · 08:35R. Gajda1.83713611113K. Schaniel1.83111111432LSep 9 · 07:20K. Schaniel2.107650P. Gumulinski1.671111113
O. Sokolowski10
WSep 11 · 19:40S. Krupa1.67121031362O. Sokolowski2.1010121111113LSep 11 · 18:10O. Sokolowski1.91911871O. Vincenec1.8011911113WSep 11 · 16:35O. Sokolowski3.25911611113L. Oracz1.3311311792LSep 11 · 15:50A. Ruszkiewicz2.501011911113O. Sokolowski1.5012911862WSep 10 · 08:20P. Adamus2.0081111442O. Sokolowski1.70117811113LSep 10 · 07:35A. Burkacki2.0711911113O. Sokolowski1.62511791LSep 10 · 05:50J. Kaczmarek2.1411712153O. Sokolowski1.5871110131LSep 10 · 04:40P. Slosarczyk2.06119157113O. Sokolowski1.63811131172LSep 10 · 03:10M. Lebek1.521111113O. Sokolowski2.303990LSep 10 · 02:20P. Adamus1.65111012113O. Sokolowski2.104121071
Upcoming Matches
K. Schaniel1 of 10 neutral
Sep 11 · 21:45K. Schaniel1.73A. Ruszkiewicz2.00—Sep 11 · 22:35K. Schaniel2.38L. Oracz1.53—Sep 12 · 24:10K. Schaniel1.67O. Vincenec2.10—Sep 12 · 01:00K. Schaniel1.50G. Sawicki2.50—Sep 12 · 01:45K. Schaniel1.80S. Krupa1.91—Sep 12 · 17:55K. Schaniel—R. Szymik——Sep 12 · 19:30K. Schaniel—A. Szurgot——Sep 12 · 20:45K. Schaniel—P. Gasiorski——Sep 12 · 21:55K. Schaniel—G. Sawicki——Sep 12 · 23:05K. Schaniel—R. Wiza——
O. Sokolowski2 of 10 neutral
Sep 12 · 03:35O. Sokolowski1.49O. Sokolowski2.33—Sep 12 · 05:10O. Sokolowski2.40R. Skotniczny1.46—Sep 12 · 06:25O. Sokolowski1.66P. Mecik2.01—Sep 12 · 07:35O. Sokolowski—K. Adamus——Sep 12 · 08:45O. Sokolowski—W. Pytlas——Sep 12 · 23:30O. Sokolowski—G. Sawicki——Sep 13 · 24:45O. Sokolowski—R. Szymik——Sep 13 · 02:20O. Sokolowski—A. Szurgot——Sep 13 · 03:30O. Sokolowski—R. Wiza——Sep 13 · 05:05O. Sokolowski—K. Schaniel——
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.