TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13113623
Played Sep 11Finished
Krzysztof Schaniel
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111210119611117
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Ruszkiewicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrzysztof Schaniel above · Adam Ruszkiewicz below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 94 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Adam Ruszkiewicz at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Schaniel 11–6 Adam Ruszkiewicz Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:36What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Schaniel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-6 in 17
Schaniel
Correct
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schaniel 1367 vs Ruszkiewicz 1376
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schaniel 40% vs Ruszkiewicz 80%
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schaniel 30% vs Ruszkiewicz 50%
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Schaniel -1 · Ruszkiewicz +4
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Schaniel) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruszkiewicz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchaniel 1.73 / Ruszkiewicz 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Schaniel)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13113623
Schaniel1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 213 of 361
Up 2–0, closes it90% 102 of 114
Up 1–0, closes it77% 160 of 208
Ruszkiewicz2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 136 of 341
Down 0–1, comes back22% 40 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSchaniel6wins
AwayRuszkiewicz4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSchaniel leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchaniel100%3 of 3
AwayRuszkiewicz50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schaniel3Ruszkiewicz6n = 9Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 9
S2Schaniel4Ruszkiewicz5n = 9Ruszkiewicz took 5 of 9
S3Schaniel5Ruszkiewicz4n = 9Schaniel took 5 of 9
S4Schaniel4Ruszkiewicz4n = 8split evenly
S5Schaniel5Ruszkiewicz1n = 6Schaniel took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSchanielRuszkiewiczS − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match44.041.8+2.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchanielRuszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime871 / 1745 vs 312 / 85849.9%36.4%871 / 1745 vs 312 / 858Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.135.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchanielSchaniel 1.73/Ruszkiewicz 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Schaniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Schaniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WJul 19 · 11:50K. Schaniel—111276143A. Ruszkiewicz—8101111122
LJul 19 · 03:50K. Schaniel—10990A. Ruszkiewicz—1211113
WNov 28 · 05:00K. Schaniel—119119113A. Ruszkiewicz—91151172
LOct 30 · 05:50K. Schaniel—5101171A. Ruszkiewicz—11129113
LOct 15 · 20:45K. Schaniel—106111172A. Ruszkiewicz—121198113
WSep 3 · 16:50K. Schaniel—1111711113A. Ruszkiewicz—13711342
WAug 12 · 21:10K. Schaniel—118911113A. Ruszkiewicz—91111792
WAug 7 · 23:10K. Schaniel—51111113A. Ruszkiewicz—115471
WAug 6 · 01:35K. Schaniel—1011117113A. Ruszkiewicz—12651172
K. Schaniel10
LSep 11 · 16:15K. Schaniel1.80761121S. Krupa1.9111114113WSep 11 · 15:00K. Schaniel2.3811118113L. Oracz1.53641171LSep 9 · 14:40O. Vincenec1.911561011113K. Schaniel1.80131112762LSep 9 · 13:30K. Schaniel2.2591111792P. Gumulinski1.57119911113WSep 9 · 12:15R. Gajda1.80111451192K. Schaniel1.917121113113LSep 9 · 11:00P. Kurek1.4411117113K. Schaniel2.63861181LSep 9 · 09:25P. Przewlocki2.20461211113K. Schaniel1.61111110832LSep 9 · 08:35R. Gajda1.83713611113K. Schaniel1.83111111432LSep 9 · 07:20K. Schaniel2.107650P. Gumulinski1.671111113WSep 9 · 06:05O. Vincenec1.914570K. Schaniel1.801111113
A. Ruszkiewicz10
WSep 11 · 18:30S. Krupa1.53761451A. Ruszkiewicz2.38111112113WSep 11 · 16:55A. Ruszkiewicz2.2012119113O. Vincenec1.611081171WSep 11 · 15:50A. Ruszkiewicz2.501011911113O. Sokolowski1.5012911862WSep 9 · 20:45W. Pytlas1.4410860A. Ruszkiewicz2.501211113WSep 9 · 19:35A. Ruszkiewicz2.0911119113M. Baron1.61871171LSep 9 · 18:25S. Krupa1.5111711113A. Ruszkiewicz2.29911891LSep 9 · 17:10W. Jozala1.951111113A. Ruszkiewicz1.759050LSep 9 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.331111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.107980LSep 8 · 08:20A. Ruszkiewicz2.15511212102M. Adamus1.601171110123LSep 8 · 06:45K. Hetnar1.3011118113A. Ruszkiewicz3.00641181
Upcoming Matches
K. Schaniel1 of 10 neutral
Sep 11 · 20:30K. Schaniel1.73O. Vincenec2.00—Sep 11 · 21:45K. Schaniel1.73A. Ruszkiewicz2.00—Sep 11 · 22:35K. Schaniel2.38L. Oracz1.53—Sep 12 · 24:10K. Schaniel1.67O. Vincenec2.10—Sep 12 · 01:00K. Schaniel1.50G. Sawicki2.50—Sep 12 · 01:45K. Schaniel1.80S. Krupa1.91—Sep 12 · 17:55K. Schaniel—R. Szymik——Sep 12 · 19:30K. Schaniel—A. Szurgot——Sep 12 · 20:45K. Schaniel—P. Gasiorski——Sep 12 · 21:55K. Schaniel—G. Sawicki——
A. Ruszkiewicz
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