TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13102792
Played Sep 9Finished
Sebastian Krupa
Home
1.51
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119711118119––
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Away
2.29
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:17 and never touched — 61.8% is still 61.8%
Graded at full timeSebastian Krupa to win
61.8%
61.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
119711118119––
H2H Sebastian Krupa 15–7 Adam Ruszkiewicz Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 7 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:17What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.51 (60%)
Krupa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-7 in 22
Krupa
Correct
gap of 8 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krupa 1450 vs Ruszkiewicz 1300
Krupa
Correct
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krupa 60% vs Ruszkiewicz 20%
Krupa
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krupa 80% vs Ruszkiewicz 40%
Krupa
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krupa +2 · Ruszkiewicz -4
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Krupa) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruszkiewicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupa 1.51 / Ruszkiewicz 2.29
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Krupa)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13102792
Krupa1.51
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 110 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it76% 81 of 106
Ruszkiewicz2.29
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 136 of 344
Down 0–1, comes back22% 40 of 180
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupa7wins
AwayRuszkiewicz3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKrupa leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupa80%4 of 5
AwayRuszkiewicz40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupa5Ruszkiewicz5n = 10split evenly
S2Krupa4Ruszkiewicz6n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S3Krupa5Ruszkiewicz5n = 10split evenly
S4Krupa7Ruszkiewicz1n = 8Krupa took 7 of 8
S5Krupa4Ruszkiewicz2n = 6Krupa took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupaRuszkiewiczK − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.839.3+2.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupaRuszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime292 / 583 vs 311 / 86350.1%36%292 / 583 vs 311 / 863Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.835.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupaKrupa 1.51/Ruszkiewicz 2.29
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.3%
Krupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Krupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 16:00S. Krupa—8101111113A. Ruszkiewicz—11124882
LAug 26 · 17:10S. Krupa—21181292A. Ruszkiewicz—1151110113
LJun 19 · 23:30S. Krupa—11861252A. Ruszkiewicz—5111110113
WJun 19 · 19:10S. Krupa—121011113A. Ruszkiewicz—1012881
WApr 7 · 04:00S. Krupa—811119113A. Ruszkiewicz—11551142
WFeb 25 · 18:10S. Krupa—1111113A. Ruszkiewicz—8890
WFeb 15 · 05:00S. Krupa—911911113A. Ruszkiewicz—11511952
WJan 28 · 21:20S. Krupa—11511113A. Ruszkiewicz—611991
LJan 21 · 18:10S. Krupa—5760A. Ruszkiewicz—1111113
WJan 14 · 18:10S. Krupa—118811113A. Ruszkiewicz—71111982
S. Krupa10
WSep 9 · 19:10W. Pytlas1.74911121152S. Krupa1.95116149113WSep 9 · 16:50S. Krupa1.6711814113M. Baron2.005111281WSep 9 · 16:00W. Jozala2.80119571S. Krupa1.3561111113LSep 7 · 02:00S. Krupa1.8371190K. Schaniel1.871113113LSep 7 · 24:45S. Krupa1.571197101J. Nowak2.2591111123WSep 6 · 23:35S. Krupa2.1011119123J. Pruszkowski1.608311101WSep 6 · 22:25P. Adamus1.60111114442S. Krupa2.151391211113WSep 6 · 21:35S. Krupa1.241111113R. Ogon3.506540WSep 6 · 20:20R. Ogon3.85712751S. Krupa1.20111011113WSep 6 · 19:35W. Jozala2.90511771S. Krupa1.3511811113
A. Ruszkiewicz10
WSep 9 · 19:35A. Ruszkiewicz2.0911119113M. Baron1.61871171LSep 9 · 17:10W. Jozala1.951111113A. Ruszkiewicz1.759050LSep 9 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.331111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.107980LSep 8 · 08:20A. Ruszkiewicz2.15511212102M. Adamus1.601171110123LSep 8 · 06:45K. Hetnar1.3011118113A. Ruszkiewicz3.00641181WSep 8 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek1.86511761A. Ruszkiewicz1.8011711113LSep 8 · 05:10A. Ruszkiewicz1.508890M. Cesarz2.401111113WSep 8 · 04:00A. Ruszkiewicz2.451111123R. Skotniczny1.4737100LSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182WSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik1.908119141A. Ruszkiewicz1.7511811163
Upcoming Matches
S. Krupa
A. Ruszkiewicz
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.