TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13091494
Played Sep 8Finished
Jakub Kaczmarek
Home
1.86
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511117711611––
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:07 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeAdam Ruszkiewicz to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
511117711611––
H2H Jakub Kaczmarek 16–19 Adam Ruszkiewicz Jakub Kaczmarek has won 16 of their 35 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:07What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-19 in 35
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
gap of 3 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaczmarek 1266 vs Ruszkiewicz 1359
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaczmarek 0% vs Ruszkiewicz 60%
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaczmarek 20% vs Ruszkiewicz 70%
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaczmarek -5 · Ruszkiewicz -1
Kaczmarek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ruszkiewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaczmarek form (0%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaczmarek 1.86 / Ruszkiewicz 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Ruszkiewicz)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13091494
Kaczmarek1.86
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 165 of 504
Down 0–1, comes back18% 58 of 325
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 181
Ruszkiewicz1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 53 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it74% 42 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaczmarek5wins
AwayRuszkiewicz5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaczmarekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayRuszkiewicz62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaczmarek2Ruszkiewicz8n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 8 of 10
S2Kaczmarek6Ruszkiewicz4n = 10Kaczmarek took 6 of 10
S3Kaczmarek6Ruszkiewicz4n = 10Kaczmarek took 6 of 10
S4Kaczmarek4Ruszkiewicz4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaczmarekRuszkiewiczK − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.337.8−1.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaczmarekRuszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime471 / 1298 vs 314 / 87036.3%36.1%471 / 1298 vs 314 / 870Avg sets wonper match1.61.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.935.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuszkiewiczKaczmarek 1.86/Ruszkiewicz 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ruszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ruszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek—511761A. Ruszkiewicz—11711113
WSep 1 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek—11811133A. Ruszkiewicz—9119111
WAug 11 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek—1611113A. Ruszkiewicz—14670
WAug 6 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek—511811113A. Ruszkiewicz—11811862
LAug 4 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek—981151A. Ruszkiewicz—11118113
WJul 28 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek—111111113A. Ruszkiewicz—139761
LJul 21 · 05:35J. Kaczmarek—831161A. Ruszkiewicz—11117113
LJul 7 · 08:00J. Kaczmarek—9690A. Ruszkiewicz—1111113
LJun 30 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek—1111971A. Ruszkiewicz—13911113
WJun 23 · 08:20J. Kaczmarek—71111113A. Ruszkiewicz—118871
J. Kaczmarek10
LSep 8 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek3.20116821K. Hetnar1.2791111113LSep 8 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.18811961M. Adamus1.5611611113LSep 7 · 14:40J. Kaczmarek2.2011181241P. Przewlocki1.6182014113LSep 7 · 13:05J. Kaczmarek2.00116681M. Adamus1.7371111113LSep 7 · 11:50J. Kaczmarek4.008550K. Hetnar1.221111113WSep 7 · 10:10J. Kaczmarek2.101110911113W. Urban1.6761211772LSep 7 · 09:00J. Kaczmarek1.806111051R. Niemiec1.9111412113WSep 4 · 17:05R. Niemiec1.85611951J. Kaczmarek1.8011811113LSep 4 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek3.901181281S. Szostok1.2291114113LSep 4 · 14:45O. Jadach1.2511819113J. Kaczmarek3.757111731
A. Ruszkiewicz10
LSep 8 · 06:45K. Hetnar1.3011118113A. Ruszkiewicz3.00641181LSep 8 · 05:10A. Ruszkiewicz1.508890M. Cesarz2.401111113WSep 8 · 04:00A. Ruszkiewicz2.451111123R. Skotniczny1.4737100LSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182WSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik1.908119141A. Ruszkiewicz1.7511811163WSep 4 · 06:25A. Ruszkiewicz2.1011114143W. Urban1.606711121WSep 4 · 04:50A. Ruszkiewicz1.861181111113Y. Fomin1.8171181342LSep 4 · 04:00M. Lebek1.261111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.503450WSep 4 · 02:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.651111113G. Jurowicz2.101840WSep 4 · 01:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.5014812133K. Adamus1.45121110111
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