TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13091704
Played Sep 8Finished
Krzysztof Hetnar
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116114811118––
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:57 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Hetnar to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
116114811118––
H2H Krzysztof Hetnar 18–2 Adam Ruszkiewicz Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 2 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (70%)
Hetnar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-2 in 20
Hetnar
Correct
gap of 16 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hetnar 1484 vs Ruszkiewicz 1350
Hetnar
Correct
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hetnar 100% vs Ruszkiewicz 60%
Hetnar
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hetnar 70% vs Ruszkiewicz 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hetnar +5 · Ruszkiewicz +1
Hetnar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Hetnar) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruszkiewicz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHetnar 1.30 / Ruszkiewicz 3.00
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Hetnar)+4.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13091704
Hetnar1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 266 of 390
Up 2–0, closes it98% 148 of 151
Up 1–0, closes it86% 218 of 255
Ruszkiewicz3.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 135 of 341
Down 0–1, comes back23% 40 of 178
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHetnar10wins
AwayRuszkiewicz0wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHetnar leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHetnar100%7 of 7
AwayRuszkiewicz0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hetnar7Ruszkiewicz3n = 10Hetnar took 7 of 10
S2Hetnar8Ruszkiewicz2n = 10Hetnar took 8 of 10
S3Hetnar6Ruszkiewicz4n = 10Hetnar took 6 of 10
S4Hetnar6Ruszkiewicz1n = 7Hetnar took 6 of 7
S5Hetnar3Ruszkiewicz0n = 3Hetnar took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHetnarRuszkiewiczH − RBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.130.2+11.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHetnarRuszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime727 / 1179 vs 314 / 87061.7%36.1%727 / 1179 vs 314 / 870Avg sets wonper match2.31.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.635.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarHetnar 1.30/Ruszkiewicz 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.1%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hetnar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 06:45K. Hetnar—11118113A. Ruszkiewicz—641181
WSep 3 · 22:25K. Hetnar—1012117113A. Ruszkiewicz—121031182
WAug 11 · 06:00K. Hetnar—111112113A. Ruszkiewicz—711461
WAug 4 · 06:00K. Hetnar—1111113A. Ruszkiewicz—3970
WJun 16 · 06:25K. Hetnar—1111113A. Ruszkiewicz—6540
WJun 15 · 11:50K. Hetnar—1110811113A. Ruszkiewicz—21211552
WJun 15 · 03:50K. Hetnar—7121113113A. Ruszkiewicz—1110131152
WJun 2 · 03:35K. Hetnar—11511113A. Ruszkiewicz—911881
WApr 28 · 04:50K. Hetnar—81112113A. Ruszkiewicz—1161061
WFeb 27 · 04:10K. Hetnar—1111113A. Ruszkiewicz—5530
K. Hetnar10
WSep 8 · 05:35K. Hetnar1.441112123M. Adamus2.50410100WSep 8 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek3.20116821K. Hetnar1.2791111113WSep 8 · 03:35K. Hetnar1.141111113M. Cesarz4.509640WSep 7 · 14:20K. Hetnar1.53119911113R. Niemiec2.3871111982WSep 7 · 12:40W. Urban2.50815581K. Hetnar1.50111311113WSep 7 · 11:50J. Kaczmarek4.008550K. Hetnar1.221111113WSep 7 · 11:00K. Hetnar1.531311112113P. Przewlocki2.38111381192LSep 7 · 09:50K. Hetnar1.61511119102M. Adamus2.20115611123LSep 6 · 08:20K. Juszczyk1.9811711143K. Hetnar1.756117121LSep 6 · 07:35P. Slosarczyk4.101311113K. Hetnar1.1811940
A. Ruszkiewicz10
WSep 8 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek1.86511761A. Ruszkiewicz1.8011711113LSep 8 · 05:10A. Ruszkiewicz1.508890M. Cesarz2.401111113WSep 8 · 04:00A. Ruszkiewicz2.451111123R. Skotniczny1.4737100LSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182WSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik1.908119141A. Ruszkiewicz1.7511811163WSep 4 · 06:25A. Ruszkiewicz2.1011114143W. Urban1.606711121WSep 4 · 04:50A. Ruszkiewicz1.861181111113Y. Fomin1.8171181342LSep 4 · 04:00M. Lebek1.261111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.503450WSep 4 · 02:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.651111113G. Jurowicz2.101840WSep 4 · 01:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.5014812133K. Adamus1.45121110111
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