TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13091705
Played Sep 8Finished
Krzysztof Hetnar
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11412101210––––
Mariusz Adamus
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:57 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeMariusz Adamus to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
11412101210––––
H2H Krzysztof Hetnar 29–26 Mariusz Adamus Mariusz Adamus has won 26 of their 55 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 20h before this match
Adamus beat Hetnar 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:57What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (63%)
Hetnar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-26 in 55
Hetnar
Correct
gap of 3 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hetnar 1466 vs Adamus 1324
Hetnar
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hetnar 100% vs Adamus 40%
Hetnar
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hetnar 60% vs Adamus 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hetnar +5 · Adamus -1
Hetnar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Hetnar) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hetnar form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHetnar 1.44 / Adamus 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Hetnar)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13091705
Hetnar1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 266 of 390
Up 2–0, closes it98% 148 of 151
Up 1–0, closes it86% 218 of 255
Adamus2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 178 of 430
Down 0–1, comes back23% 51 of 223
Down 0–2, comes back10% 12 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHetnar6wins
AwayAdamus4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHetnar leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHetnar83.3%5 of 6
AwayAdamus75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hetnar6Adamus4n = 10Hetnar took 6 of 10
S2Hetnar5Adamus5n = 10split evenly
S3Hetnar2Adamus8n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S4Hetnar3Adamus4n = 7Adamus took 4 of 7
S5Hetnar4Adamus0n = 4Hetnar took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHetnarAdamusH − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.436.0+2.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHetnarAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime725 / 1177 vs 790 / 162861.6%48.5%725 / 1177 vs 790 / 1628Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarHetnar 1.44/Adamus 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.7%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hetnar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 4 · 06:45K. Hetnar—1181011113M. Adamus—61112292
LJul 31 · 09:50K. Hetnar—118761M. Adamus—91111113
LJul 16 · 11:30K. Hetnar—12760M. Adamus—1411113
LJul 16 · 10:20K. Hetnar—71190M. Adamus—1113113
WJun 21 · 04:25K. Hetnar—1111113M. Adamus—7650
LJun 19 · 13:55K. Hetnar—911871M. Adamus—11711113
WJun 19 · 07:55K. Hetnar—111186113M. Adamus—76111142
WJun 12 · 13:55K. Hetnar—116117113M. Adamus—71141162
WJun 12 · 07:55K. Hetnar—411811123M. Adamus—118117102
WJun 2 · 08:00K. Hetnar—11119113M. Adamus—641131
K. Hetnar10
WSep 8 · 06:45K. Hetnar1.3011118113A. Ruszkiewicz3.00641181WSep 8 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek3.20116821K. Hetnar1.2791111113WSep 8 · 03:35K. Hetnar1.141111113M. Cesarz4.509640WSep 7 · 14:20K. Hetnar1.53119911113R. Niemiec2.3871111982WSep 7 · 12:40W. Urban2.50815581K. Hetnar1.50111311113WSep 7 · 11:50J. Kaczmarek4.008550K. Hetnar1.221111113WSep 7 · 11:00K. Hetnar1.531311112113P. Przewlocki2.38111381192LSep 7 · 09:50K. Hetnar1.61511119102M. Adamus2.20115611123LSep 6 · 08:20K. Juszczyk1.9811711143K. Hetnar1.756117121LSep 6 · 07:35P. Slosarczyk4.101311113K. Hetnar1.1811940
M. Adamus10
LSep 8 · 07:35M. Cesarz2.951111610113M. Adamus1.3587111272LSep 8 · 04:50R. Skotniczny1.57111111113M. Adamus2.16913461WSep 8 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.18811961M. Adamus1.5611611113LSep 7 · 13:55W. Urban1.80111177113M. Adamus1.9167111162WSep 7 · 13:05J. Kaczmarek2.00116681M. Adamus1.7371111113LSep 7 · 12:15M. Adamus2.0011114982P. Przewlocki1.73641111113LSep 7 · 10:35M. Adamus1.8013960R. Niemiec1.911511113WSep 7 · 09:50K. Hetnar1.61511119102M. Adamus2.20115611123WSep 7 · 08:35M. Adamus1.6711119113P. Przewlocki2.10591161WSep 7 · 06:55M. Adamus2.3851111123J. Pruszkowski1.531197101
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