TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098851
Played Sep 9Finished
Mariusz Koczyba
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119118––––
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Away
3.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:18 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeMariusz Koczyba to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
117119118––––
H2H Mariusz Koczyba 30–3 Adam Ruszkiewicz Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 3 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:18What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (70%)
Koczyba
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-3 in 33
Koczyba
Correct
gap of 27 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koczyba 1254 vs Ruszkiewicz 1337
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koczyba 0% vs Ruszkiewicz 40%
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koczyba 0% vs Ruszkiewicz 50%
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koczyba -5 · Ruszkiewicz -2
Koczyba
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Koczyba) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koczyba form (0%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoczyba 1.33 / Ruszkiewicz 3.10
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Koczyba)+0.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13098851
Koczyba1.33
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite66% won 333 of 507
Up 2–0, closes it95% 176 of 186
Up 1–0, closes it82% 238 of 291
Ruszkiewicz3.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 136 of 344
Down 0–1, comes back22% 40 of 180
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoczyba7wins
AwayRuszkiewicz3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKoczyba leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoczyba70%7 of 10
AwayRuszkiewiczn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koczyba10Ruszkiewicz0n = 10Koczyba took 10 of 10
S2Koczyba5Ruszkiewicz5n = 10split evenly
S3Koczyba6Ruszkiewicz4n = 10Koczyba took 6 of 10
S4Koczyba2Ruszkiewicz5n = 7Ruszkiewicz took 5 of 7
S5Koczyba3Ruszkiewicz2n = 5Koczyba took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoczybaRuszkiewiczK − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match42.736.9+5.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoczybaRuszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime859 / 1313 vs 311 / 86165.4%36.1%859 / 1313 vs 311 / 861Avg sets wonper match2.31.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.335.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoczybaKoczyba 1.33/Ruszkiewicz 3.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.7%
Koczyba · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Koczyba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 19 · 20:00M. Koczyba—117891A. Ruszkiewicz—61111113
WAug 12 · 16:25M. Koczyba—11711113A. Ruszkiewicz—611231
LMay 28 · 21:35M. Koczyba—14961282A. Ruszkiewicz—12111110113
LMay 28 · 15:35M. Koczyba—11611532A. Ruszkiewicz—811411113
WApr 29 · 18:45M. Koczyba—1511119113A. Ruszkiewicz—131371142
WApr 15 · 15:35M. Koczyba—1111113A. Ruszkiewicz—1890
WMar 28 · 05:00M. Koczyba—1411108113A. Ruszkiewicz—128121162
WMar 8 · 09:00M. Koczyba—1111113A. Ruszkiewicz—6550
WMar 4 · 19:45M. Koczyba—1413133A. Ruszkiewicz—1211110
WFeb 25 · 19:25M. Koczyba—1111611113A. Ruszkiewicz—74111382
M. Koczyba10
LSep 9 · 01:45M. Koczyba1.57143151G. Marud2.25121111113LSep 9 · 24:35M. Koczyba1.7351111952G. Jurowicz2.00117311113LSep 8 · 23:20M. Koczyba1.80511661P. Adamus1.9111811113LSep 8 · 22:10L. Oracz1.8011611113M. Koczyba1.91411961LSep 8 · 21:20M. Koczyba1.36931113112J. Nowak3.001111411133LSep 8 · 19:40M. Koczyba1.808880L. Oracz1.911111113LSep 8 · 18:30M. Koczyba1.4413560G. Jurowicz2.631511113LSep 8 · 17:20M. Koczyba1.73811491P. Adamus2.0011911113LSep 8 · 16:15G. Marud2.2511511113M. Koczyba1.57411411LSep 8 · 15:25M. Koczyba1.36881631J. Nowak3.00111114113
A. Ruszkiewicz10
LSep 8 · 08:20A. Ruszkiewicz2.15511212102M. Adamus1.601171110123LSep 8 · 06:45K. Hetnar1.3011118113A. Ruszkiewicz3.00641181WSep 8 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek1.86511761A. Ruszkiewicz1.8011711113LSep 8 · 05:10A. Ruszkiewicz1.508890M. Cesarz2.401111113WSep 8 · 04:00A. Ruszkiewicz2.451111123R. Skotniczny1.4737100LSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182WSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik1.908119141A. Ruszkiewicz1.7511811163WSep 4 · 06:25A. Ruszkiewicz2.1011114143W. Urban1.606711121WSep 4 · 04:50A. Ruszkiewicz1.861181111113Y. Fomin1.8171181342LSep 4 · 04:00M. Lebek1.261111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.503450
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