TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13095038
Played Sep 8Finished
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Home
2.15
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
51111721112101012
Mariusz Adamus
Away
1.60
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Ruszkiewicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
51111721112101012
H2H Adam Ruszkiewicz 15–16 Mariusz Adamus Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 15 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:41What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-16 in 31
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruszkiewicz 1350 vs Adamus 1298
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruszkiewicz 40% vs Adamus 20%
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruszkiewicz 60% vs Adamus 40%
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruszkiewicz -1 · Adamus -3
Adamus
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (20%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuszkiewicz 2.15 / Adamus 1.60
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Adamus)-2.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13095038
Ruszkiewicz2.15
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 135 of 341
Down 0–1, comes back23% 40 of 178
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 100
Adamus1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 227 of 414
Up 2–0, closes it88% 86 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it72% 154 of 214
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuszkiewicz7wins
AwayAdamus3wins
9 of 10 to a deciderRuszkiewicz leads 7–3, and 9 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuszkiewicz85.7%6 of 7
AwayAdamus66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruszkiewicz7Adamus3n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 7 of 10
S2Ruszkiewicz4Adamus6n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S3Ruszkiewicz7Adamus3n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 7 of 10
S4Ruszkiewicz3Adamus7n = 10Adamus took 7 of 10
S5Ruszkiewicz6Adamus3n = 9Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 9
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home660%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuszkiewiczAdamusR − ABasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match49.447.7+1.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuszkiewiczAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime314 / 870 vs 790 / 163036.1%48.5%314 / 870 vs 790 / 1630Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.639.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusRuszkiewicz 2.15/Adamus 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.1%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 1 · 03:05A. Ruszkiewicz—11117113M. Adamus—841181
WJul 31 · 21:05A. Ruszkiewicz—7151910113M. Adamus—1113171262
LJul 21 · 08:00A. Ruszkiewicz—812118152M. Adamus—1110711173
WJun 30 · 06:45A. Ruszkiewicz—117511113M. Adamus—71111662
WJun 2 · 06:25A. Ruszkiewicz—1111912123M. Adamus—9131110102
WMay 19 · 04:00A. Ruszkiewicz—118118113M. Adamus—71171192
WApr 29 · 17:10A. Ruszkiewicz—11111112113M. Adamus—61361462
LApr 28 · 08:20A. Ruszkiewicz—61111492M. Adamus—119911113
WApr 21 · 04:50A. Ruszkiewicz—126119113M. Adamus—101171192
LMar 28 · 07:45A. Ruszkiewicz—11811672M. Adamus—711811113
A. Ruszkiewicz10
LSep 8 · 06:45K. Hetnar1.3011118113A. Ruszkiewicz3.00641181WSep 8 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek1.86511761A. Ruszkiewicz1.8011711113LSep 8 · 05:10A. Ruszkiewicz1.508890M. Cesarz2.401111113WSep 8 · 04:00A. Ruszkiewicz2.451111123R. Skotniczny1.4737100LSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182WSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik1.908119141A. Ruszkiewicz1.7511811163WSep 4 · 06:25A. Ruszkiewicz2.1011114143W. Urban1.606711121WSep 4 · 04:50A. Ruszkiewicz1.861181111113Y. Fomin1.8171181342LSep 4 · 04:00M. Lebek1.261111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.503450WSep 4 · 02:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.651111113G. Jurowicz2.101840
M. Adamus10
LSep 8 · 07:35M. Cesarz2.951111610113M. Adamus1.3587111272LSep 8 · 05:35K. Hetnar1.441112123M. Adamus2.50410100LSep 8 · 04:50R. Skotniczny1.57111111113M. Adamus2.16913461WSep 8 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.18811961M. Adamus1.5611611113LSep 7 · 13:55W. Urban1.80111177113M. Adamus1.9167111162WSep 7 · 13:05J. Kaczmarek2.00116681M. Adamus1.7371111113LSep 7 · 12:15M. Adamus2.0011114982P. Przewlocki1.73641111113LSep 7 · 10:35M. Adamus1.8013960R. Niemiec1.911511113WSep 7 · 09:50K. Hetnar1.61511119102M. Adamus2.20115611123WSep 7 · 08:35M. Adamus1.6711119113P. Przewlocki2.10591161
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.