TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13102553
Played Sep 9Finished
Sebastian Krupa
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1158111412118––
Mariusz Baron
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:18 and never touched — 55.2% is still 55.2%
Graded at full timeSebastian Krupa to win
55.2%
55.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
1158111412118––
H2H Sebastian Krupa 9–12 Mariusz Baron Sebastian Krupa has won 9 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:18What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (54%)
Krupa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-12 in 21
Baron
Wrong
gap of 3 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krupa 1441 vs Baron 1349
Krupa
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krupa 60% vs Baron 40%
Krupa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krupa 80% vs Baron 40%
Krupa
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krupa +1 · Baron +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Krupa)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupa 1.67 / Baron 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Krupa)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13102553
Krupa1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 110 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it76% 81 of 106
Baron2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 195 of 491
Down 0–1, comes back24% 66 of 271
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 140
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupa4wins
AwayBaron6wins
8 of 10 to a deciderBaron leads 6–4, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupa50%3 of 6
AwayBaron75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupa6Baron4n = 10Krupa took 6 of 10
S2Krupa3Baron7n = 10Baron took 7 of 10
S3Krupa3Baron7n = 10Baron took 7 of 10
S4Krupa5Baron4n = 9Krupa took 5 of 9
S5Krupa4Baron4n = 8split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupaBaronK − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.946.4−3.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupaBaronBasisWin rate · lifetime291 / 582 vs 873 / 180750%48.3%291 / 582 vs 873 / 1807Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupaKrupa 1.67/Baron 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Krupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Krupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 26 · 20:00S. Krupa—116511113M. Baron—61111962
WJul 25 · 06:45S. Krupa—411512113M. Baron—118111092
LJun 25 · 24:00S. Krupa—31090M. Baron—1112113
LJun 11 · 01:10S. Krupa—591115162M. Baron—1111413183
WJun 10 · 18:00S. Krupa—116611113M. Baron—61111972
WJun 3 · 19:10S. Krupa—1151110113M. Baron—81191242
LMay 27 · 18:00S. Krupa—16912682M. Baron—14111011113
LMay 3 · 03:35S. Krupa—119891M. Baron—81111113
LSep 17 · 18:00S. Krupa—11116462M. Baron—871111113
LJul 28 · 24:00S. Krupa—81171182M. Baron—115119113
S. Krupa10
WSep 9 · 16:00W. Jozala2.80119571S. Krupa1.3561111113LSep 7 · 02:00S. Krupa1.8371190K. Schaniel1.871113113LSep 7 · 24:45S. Krupa1.571197101J. Nowak2.2591111123WSep 6 · 23:35S. Krupa2.1011119123J. Pruszkowski1.608311101WSep 6 · 22:25P. Adamus1.60111114442S. Krupa2.151391211113WSep 6 · 21:35S. Krupa1.241111113R. Ogon3.506540WSep 6 · 20:20R. Ogon3.85712751S. Krupa1.20111011113WSep 6 · 19:35W. Jozala2.90511771S. Krupa1.3511811113WSep 6 · 17:35G. Sawicki2.60531361S. Krupa1.41111111113WSep 6 · 16:50K. Juszczyk1.74118691S. Krupa1.9561111113
M. Baron10
WSep 9 · 15:10W. Pytlas1.5671141152M. Baron2.17118113113LSep 8 · 17:05M. Baron2.358980J. Pruszkowski1.521111113WSep 8 · 15:30M. Baron2.25121210113S. Szostok1.5510101241LSep 8 · 14:20M. Baron1.8741215992O. Vincenec1.8311101311113LSep 8 · 12:45M. Baron2.609124101K. Slawinski1.42111011123LSep 8 · 11:30M. Baron1.739111631W. Buczynski2.0011918113WSep 8 · 10:20K. Slawinski1.36871171M. Baron2.7511118113LSep 8 · 09:30S. Szostok1.4713127113M. Baron2.3911101191LSep 8 · 08:45M. Baron2.401186111J. Pruszkowski1.5071111133WSep 8 · 07:10M. Baron1.7111131111113W. Buczynski2.0071551392
Upcoming Matches
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M. Baron
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