TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13096071
Played Sep 8Finished
Kacper Slawinski
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811711118711––
Mariusz Baron
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:01 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeKacper Slawinski to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
811711118711––
H2H Kacper Slawinski 16–8 Mariusz Baron Mariusz Baron has won 8 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:01What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (67%)
Slawinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-8 in 24
Slawinski
Wrong
gap of 8 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slawinski 1529 vs Baron 1341
Slawinski
Wrong
both rated, 188 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slawinski 40% vs Baron 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slawinski 60% vs Baron 40%
Slawinski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slawinski -1 · Baron -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Slawinski) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slawinski form (40%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlawinski 1.36 / Baron 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Slawinski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13096071
Slawinski1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 90 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it98% 43 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it83% 64 of 77
Baron2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 193 of 486
Down 0–1, comes back25% 66 of 268
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 139
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlawinski7wins
AwayBaron3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSlawinski leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlawinski66.7%4 of 6
AwayBaron25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slawinski6Baron4n = 10Slawinski took 6 of 10
S2Slawinski6Baron4n = 10Slawinski took 6 of 10
S3Slawinski6Baron4n = 10Slawinski took 6 of 10
S4Slawinski3Baron3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlawinskiBaronS − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.536.5+3.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlawinskiBaronBasisWin rate · lifetime613 / 990 vs 875 / 181061.9%48.3%613 / 990 vs 875 / 1810Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiSlawinski 1.36/Baron 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.9%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Baron won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 16:40K. Slawinski—1111113M. Baron—6780
WAug 28 · 10:40K. Slawinski—119812113M. Baron—811111062
WAug 18 · 13:10K. Slawinski—811111113M. Baron—11971172
LAug 18 · 05:30K. Slawinski—11990M. Baron—1311113
WAug 11 · 11:55K. Slawinski—1111123M. Baron—89100
LAug 11 · 05:55K. Slawinski—1179121M. Baron—81111143
WAug 4 · 12:45K. Slawinski—61211153M. Baron—11104131
LAug 4 · 10:20K. Slawinski—1314891M. Baron—111611113
WOct 22 · 05:55K. Slawinski—1112113M. Baron—51030
WSep 30 · 14:45K. Slawinski—61117113M. Baron—1171591
K. Slawinski10
LSep 8 · 16:20K. Slawinski1.67111013151S. Szostok2.0041215173WSep 8 · 15:05K. Slawinski1.3611913113O. Vincenec2.755111181WSep 8 · 13:55K. Slawinski1.29981111113W. Buczynski3.1011113882WSep 8 · 12:45M. Baron2.609124101K. Slawinski1.42111011123WSep 8 · 11:55K. Slawinski1.7911911133J. Pruszkowski1.848118111LSep 8 · 09:05K. Slawinski1.3691181192O. Vincenec2.75116119113WSep 8 · 07:55K. Slawinski1.2911116113W. Buczynski3.10761141WSep 8 · 06:45S. Szostok2.05871161K. Slawinski1.6611118113LSep 8 · 05:55K. Slawinski1.83115116102J. Pruszkowski1.86711911123LSep 6 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.8310770M. Oracz1.861211113
M. Baron10
LSep 8 · 17:05M. Baron2.358980J. Pruszkowski1.521111113WSep 8 · 15:30M. Baron2.25121210113S. Szostok1.5510101241LSep 8 · 14:20M. Baron1.8741215992O. Vincenec1.8311101311113LSep 8 · 12:45M. Baron2.609124101K. Slawinski1.42111011123LSep 8 · 11:30M. Baron1.739111631W. Buczynski2.0011918113LSep 8 · 09:30S. Szostok1.4713127113M. Baron2.3911101191LSep 8 · 08:45M. Baron2.401186111J. Pruszkowski1.5071111133WSep 8 · 07:10M. Baron1.7111131111113W. Buczynski2.0071551392WSep 8 · 06:20O. Vincenec1.861111115102M. Baron1.80991117123LSep 7 · 04:20M. Baron2.909580L. Oracz1.351111113
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