TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13097271
Played Sep 8Finished
Kacper Slawinski
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114101213151517––
Sebastian Szostok
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
114101213151517––
H2H Kacper Slawinski 28–18 Sebastian Szostok Sebastian Szostok has won 18 of their 46 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 10h before this match
Slawinski beat Szostok 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:43What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (54%)
Slawinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-18 in 46
Slawinski
Wrong
gap of 10 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slawinski 1540 vs Szostok 1483
Slawinski
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slawinski 80% vs Szostok 40%
Slawinski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slawinski 60% vs Szostok 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slawinski +4 · Szostok -2
Slawinski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Slawinski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slawinski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlawinski 1.67 / Szostok 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Slawinski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13097271
Slawinski1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 90 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it98% 43 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it83% 64 of 77
Szostok2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 84 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back29% 27 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlawinski6wins
AwaySzostok4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSlawinski leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlawinski85.7%6 of 7
AwaySzostok100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slawinski7Szostok3n = 10Slawinski took 7 of 10
S2Slawinski7Szostok3n = 10Slawinski took 7 of 10
S3Slawinski3Szostok7n = 10Szostok took 7 of 10
S4Slawinski5Szostok3n = 8Slawinski took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlawinskiSzostokSlawinski − SzostokBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.836.3+3.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlawinskiSzostokBasisWin rate · lifetime617 / 995 vs 939 / 158662%59.2%617 / 995 vs 939 / 1586Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.640.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiSlawinski 1.67/Szostok 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Szostok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 06:45K. Slawinski—11118113S. Szostok—871161
WAug 13 · 14:45K. Slawinski—11118113S. Szostok—491151
LAug 13 · 06:45K. Slawinski—911991S. Szostok—11711113
LJan 29 · 16:30K. Slawinski—1111871S. Szostok—13411113
WJan 29 · 10:30K. Slawinski—111011133S. Szostok—7128111
WJan 15 · 14:30K. Slawinski—111111113S. Szostok—891391
LJan 15 · 08:30K. Slawinski—115117112S. Szostok—911711133
WJan 14 · 21:40K. Slawinski—1211113S. Szostok—10590
WJan 10 · 18:20K. Slawinski—11129113S. Szostok—6101171
LDec 22 · 18:05K. Slawinski—101280S. Szostok—1214113
K. Slawinski10
WSep 8 · 15:05K. Slawinski1.3611913113O. Vincenec2.755111181WSep 8 · 13:55K. Slawinski1.29981111113W. Buczynski3.1011113882WSep 8 · 12:45M. Baron2.609124101K. Slawinski1.42111011123WSep 8 · 11:55K. Slawinski1.7911911133J. Pruszkowski1.848118111LSep 8 · 10:20K. Slawinski1.36871171M. Baron2.7511118113LSep 8 · 09:05K. Slawinski1.3691181192O. Vincenec2.75116119113WSep 8 · 07:55K. Slawinski1.2911116113W. Buczynski3.10761141WSep 8 · 06:45S. Szostok2.05871161K. Slawinski1.6611118113LSep 8 · 05:55K. Slawinski1.83115116102J. Pruszkowski1.86711911123LSep 6 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.8310770M. Oracz1.861211113
S. Szostok10
LSep 8 · 15:30M. Baron2.25121210113S. Szostok1.5510101241LSep 8 · 14:45S. Szostok1.78811671J. Pruszkowski1.9111811113WSep 8 · 13:10S. Szostok1.531051111113W. Buczynski2.3612119472LSep 8 · 12:20O. Vincenec2.2011126113S. Szostok1.576101171WSep 8 · 11:05S. Szostok1.85711117113J. Pruszkowski1.8011871172WSep 8 · 09:30S. Szostok1.4713127113M. Baron2.3911101191WSep 8 · 08:20S. Szostok1.4611117113O. Vincenec2.40691171LSep 8 · 06:45S. Szostok2.05871161K. Slawinski1.6611118113WSep 8 · 05:30S. Szostok1.3713811113W. Buczynski2.701111691WSep 7 · 17:05P. Mecik2.90115101192S. Szostok1.35911125113
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